Sprinklr (Sprinklr) Predictability Rank

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What is Sprinklr Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sprinklr Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Sprinklr (Sprinklr) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Sprinklr Inc (NYSE:CXM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

9EI:Germany

Address

29 West 35th Street, 7th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10001

Website

https://www.sprinklr.com

Sprinklr Inc is engaged in providing enterprise software that enables every customer-facing function across the front office, from Customer Care to Marketing, to collaborate across internal silos, and communicate across digital channels. Its products include Modern Marketing and Advertising, Morden Research, Modern Care, Core Platform, and Developer portal among others.

Executives

Manish Sarin	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SPRINKLR, INC., 29 WEST 35TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Battery Partners Ix, Llc	10 percent owner	ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210
Arun Pattabhiraman	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O SPRINKLR, INC., 29 WEST 35TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul Ohls	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O SPRINKLR, INC., 29 WEST 35TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Diane Adams	officer: Chief Culture & Talent Officer	222 MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, SUITE 2024, CHICAGO IL 60654
Jacob Scott	officer: General Counsel and Corp. Sec.	C/O SPRINKLR, INC., 29 WEST 35TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Ragy Thomas	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O SPRINKLR, INC., 29 WEST 35TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Neeraj Agrawal	director, 10 percent owner	ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210
Scott Michael Harvey	officer: EVP Customer Operations	C/O SPRINKLR, INC., 29 WEST 35TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Pavitar Singh	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O SPRINKLR, INC., 29 WEST 35TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Roger H Lee	10 percent owner	ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210
Chelsea R. Stoner	10 percent owner	C/O AVALARA, INC., 255 SOUTH KING ST., SUITE 1800, SEATTLE WA 98104
Jesse Feldman	10 percent owner	ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210
Michael Maurice Brown	10 percent owner	ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210
R David Tabors	10 percent owner	ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210