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Molson Coors Canada (TSX:TPX.B) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is Molson Coors Canada Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Molson Coors Canada's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:TPX.B' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.6   Max: -1.26
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Molson Coors Canada was -1.26. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.60.


Molson Coors Canada Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Molson Coors Canada's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Molson Coors Canada Beneish M-Score Chart

Molson Coors Canada Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.82 -2.26 -2.48 -2.71

Molson Coors Canada Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 - -2.58 -2.71 -2.65

Competitive Comparison of Molson Coors Canada's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Molson Coors Canada's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Molson Coors Canada's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Molson Coors Canada's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Molson Coors Canada's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Molson Coors Canada Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Molson Coors Canada for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9766+0.528 * 0.8476+0.404 * 0.9875+0.892 * 1.1124+0.115 * 1.0224
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0049+4.679 * -0.03872-0.327 * 0.9593
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$1,376 Mil.
Revenue was 3514.487 + 3744.137 + 4463.065 + 4340.005 = C$16,062 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1304.194 + 1385.873 + 1821.543 + 1619.431 = C$6,131 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$3,624 Mil.
Total Assets was C$35,291 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$6,014 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$914 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$3,769 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$5,229 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$7,191 Mil.
Net Income was 281.278 + 138.587 + 582.78 + 454.913 = C$1,458 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -3.384 + 12.074 + -12.313 + 12.09 = C$8 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 34.381 + 636.589 + 960.836 + 1183.783 = C$2,816 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$1,266 Mil.
Revenue was 3210.442 + 3572.176 + 3915.263 + 3740.945 = C$14,439 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1054.549 + 1254.846 + 1312.157 + 1049.928 = C$4,671 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$3,491 Mil.
Total Assets was C$35,374 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$5,843 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$911 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$3,372 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$4,524 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$8,453 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1375.528 / 16061.694) / (1266.225 / 14438.826)
=0.08564 / 0.087696
=0.9766

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4671.48 / 14438.826) / (6131.041 / 16061.694)
=0.323536 / 0.381718
=0.8476

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3623.587 + 6014.045) / 35291.465) / (1 - (3491.354 + 5842.778) / 35373.976)
=0.726913 / 0.73613
=0.9875

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=16061.694 / 14438.826
=1.1124

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(911.396 / (911.396 + 5842.778)) / (914.469 / (914.469 + 6014.045))
=0.134938 / 0.131986
=1.0224

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3769.323 / 16061.694) / (3371.996 / 14438.826)
=0.234678 / 0.233537
=1.0049

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7190.594 + 5228.957) / 35291.465) / ((8452.947 + 4523.873) / 35373.976)
=0.351914 / 0.366847
=0.9593

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1457.558 - 8.467 - 2815.589) / 35291.465
=-0.03872

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Molson Coors Canada has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Molson Coors Canada Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Molson Coors Canada (TSX:TPX.B) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
33 Carlingview Drive, Toronto, ON, CAN, M9W 5E4
Molson Coors Canada Inc is a large global brewer and distributor of beer and other malt beverages. major brands include Coors Light, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian, Carling, Staropramen, Coors Banquet, Blue Moon, Vizzy, Leinenkugel, and Creemore. Its two segments are the Americas and EMEA&APAC segments. Americas segment operates in the U.S., Canada and various countries in the Caribbean, Latin and South America and EMEA&APAC segment operates in Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Montenegro, the Republic of Ireland, Romania, Serbia, the U.K., various other European countries, and certain countries within the Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific. Its breweries are located across the U.S., Canada, and Europe, with the majority of the company's revenue generated in Americas.

Molson Coors Canada (TSX:TPX.B) Headlines

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