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Molson Coors Canada (TSX:TPX.B) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : C$134.65 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is Molson Coors Canada Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-04), Molson Coors Canada's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is C$134.65. The stock price of Molson Coors Canada is C$78.64. Therefore, Molson Coors Canada's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Molson Coors Canada's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:TPX.B' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.55   Max: 1.76
Current: 0.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Molson Coors Canada was 1.76. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.55.

TSX:TPX.B's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
84.31% of 153 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.28 vs TSX:TPX.B: 0.58

Molson Coors Canada Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Molson Coors Canada's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Molson Coors Canada Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Molson Coors Canada Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 164.82 163.42 158.70 138.50 140.03

Molson Coors Canada Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 133.63 142.75 143.24 140.03 134.65

Competitive Comparison of Molson Coors Canada's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Molson Coors Canada's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Molson Coors Canada's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Molson Coors Canada's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Molson Coors Canada's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Molson Coors Canada Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Molson Coors Canada's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = C$1,537.18.

Molson Coors Canada's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1537.184+17759.367*0.8)/214.200
=134.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Molson Coors Canada  (TSX:TPX.B) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Molson Coors Canada's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=78.64/134.64998014795
=0.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Molson Coors Canada Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Molson Coors Canada (TSX:TPX.B) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
33 Carlingview Drive, Toronto, ON, CAN, M9W 5E4
Molson Coors Canada Inc is a large global brewer and distributor of beer and other malt beverages. major brands include Coors Light, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian, Carling, Staropramen, Coors Banquet, Blue Moon, Vizzy, Leinenkugel, and Creemore. Its two segments are the Americas and EMEA&APAC segments. Americas segment operates in the U.S., Canada and various countries in the Caribbean, Latin and South America and EMEA&APAC segment operates in Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Montenegro, the Republic of Ireland, Romania, Serbia, the U.K., various other European countries, and certain countries within the Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific. Its breweries are located across the U.S., Canada, and Europe, with the majority of the company's revenue generated in Americas.

Molson Coors Canada (TSX:TPX.B) Headlines

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