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PhosAgro PJSC (MIC:PHOR) Beneish M-Score : -2.89 (As of May. 08, 2024)


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What is PhosAgro PJSC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PhosAgro PJSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIC:PHOR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.64   Med: -2.88   Max: -0.26
Current: -2.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PhosAgro PJSC was -0.26. The lowest was -3.64. And the median was -2.88.


PhosAgro PJSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PhosAgro PJSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PhosAgro PJSC Beneish M-Score Chart

PhosAgro PJSC Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 -3.09 -3.32 -1.31 -1.93

PhosAgro PJSC Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 -1.93 - -3.24 -2.89

Competitive Comparison of PhosAgro PJSC's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, PhosAgro PJSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PhosAgro PJSC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, PhosAgro PJSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PhosAgro PJSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PhosAgro PJSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PhosAgro PJSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4804+0.528 * 1.1697+0.404 * 1.6544+0.892 * 0.7474+0.115 * 1.0627
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4079+4.679 * -0.179969-0.327 * 1.2313
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₽57,792 Mil.
Revenue was 116133 + 96574 + 116178 + 110104 = ₽438,989 Mil.
Gross Profit was 53892 + 38473 + 51857 + 54476 = ₽198,698 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽149,830 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽495,158 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽309,086 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽30,970 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽8,378 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽138,177 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽184,738 Mil.
Net Income was 15262 + 13439 + 28055 + 19167 = ₽75,923 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₽0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 35221 + 32028 + 53903 + 43884 = ₽165,036 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₽52,232 Mil.
Revenue was 122914 + 155831 + 180678 + 127924 = ₽587,347 Mil.
Gross Profit was 60657 + 80755 + 104621 + 64938 = ₽310,971 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽223,294 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽521,175 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽274,823 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽29,448 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽7,962 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽183,175 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽92,868 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(57792 / 438989) / (52232 / 587347)
=0.131648 / 0.088929
=1.4804

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(310971 / 587347) / (198698 / 438989)
=0.52945 / 0.452626
=1.1697

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (149830 + 309086) / 495158) / (1 - (223294 + 274823) / 521175)
=0.073193 / 0.044242
=1.6544

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=438989 / 587347
=0.7474

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(29448 / (29448 + 274823)) / (30970 / (30970 + 309086))
=0.096782 / 0.091073
=1.0627

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8378 / 438989) / (7962 / 587347)
=0.019085 / 0.013556
=1.4079

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((184738 + 138177) / 495158) / ((92868 + 183175) / 521175)
=0.652145 / 0.529655
=1.2313

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(75923 - 0 - 165036) / 495158
=-0.179969

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PhosAgro PJSC has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PhosAgro PJSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PhosAgro PJSC (MIC:PHOR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Leninsky Prospekt, Apartment 55/1, Building 1, Moscow, RUS, 119333
PhosAgro PJSC produces and distributes fertilizer to the agricultural industry. The company has two segments organized by product: phosphate and nitrogen. The phosphate segment mines apatite-nepheline ore and then processes the ore into sulfate of potash fertilizer. The nitrogen segment produces nitrogen and ammonia-based fertilizers. To compete on cost, the firm controls its logistics operations through the ownership of ships, ports, and railroad cars. It generates revenue throughout the world, with Russia and Europe being its biggest markets.

PhosAgro PJSC (MIC:PHOR) Headlines

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