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CRRC (HKSE:01766) Beneish M-Score : -2.82 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is CRRC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CRRC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01766' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.78   Med: -2.39   Max: -1.26
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CRRC was -1.26. The lowest was -3.78. And the median was -2.39.


CRRC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for CRRC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CRRC Beneish M-Score Chart

CRRC Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.11 -2.44 -2.53 -2.44

CRRC Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.37 -2.37 -2.44 -2.82

Competitive Comparison of CRRC's Beneish M-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, CRRC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CRRC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, CRRC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CRRC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



CRRC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CRRC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9627+0.528 * 0.9384+0.404 * 0.9794+0.892 * 1.0004+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0926+4.679 * -0.051439-0.327 * 1.0195
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$150,816 Mil.
Revenue was 34960.215 + 99781.103 + 59784.32 + 60075.424 = HK$254,601 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8711.547 + 22907.158 + 13714.143 + 12543.575 = HK$57,876 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$340,337 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$512,229 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$71,596 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$14,222 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$269,899 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$9,469 Mil.
Net Income was 1095.304 + 6081.402 + 2886.893 + 3111.841 = HK$13,175 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 15738.108 + 20468.783 + 11572.154 + -8255.303 = HK$39,524 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$156,607 Mil.
Revenue was 36879.128 + 97573.278 + 60682.022 + 59371.356 = HK$254,506 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7932.256 + 21683.101 + 12895.874 + 11778.486 = HK$54,290 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$333,979 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$510,713 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$74,629 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$13,012 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$264,468 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$8,748 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(150815.986 / 254601.062) / (156606.903 / 254505.784)
=0.592362 / 0.615337
=0.9627

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(54289.717 / 254505.784) / (57876.423 / 254601.062)
=0.213314 / 0.227322
=0.9384

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (340336.787 + 71596.408) / 512228.954) / (1 - (333978.918 + 74629.379) / 510713.121)
=0.195803 / 0.199926
=0.9794

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=254601.062 / 254505.784
=1.0004

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 74629.379)) / (0 / (0 + 71596.408))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14221.915 / 254601.062) / (13012.204 / 254505.784)
=0.05586 / 0.051127
=1.0926

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9469.212 + 269898.6) / 512228.954) / ((8747.898 + 264468.354) / 510713.121)
=0.545396 / 0.53497
=1.0195

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(13175.44 - 0 - 39523.742) / 512228.954
=-0.051439

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CRRC has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


CRRC (HKSE:01766) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 16-5, Central West Fourth Ring Road, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN, 100036
CRRC Corp Ltd manufactures products which are used for transportation through railroads. Its product portfolio includes rolling stock, rail transit vehicles, engineering machinery, electrical equipment and related parts, and environmental protection products. The company also engages in allied activities like refurbishment, leasing, technical support to clients, investment, and management, as well as import and export business. Its business operations are spread across Mainland China which derives the highest revenue, and a few other countries.

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