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CRRC (HKSE:01766) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : HK$0.44 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is CRRC Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

CRRC's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$0.585. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$0.44 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, CRRC's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of CRRC was 37.50% per year. The lowest was 13.50% per year. And the median was 16.10% per year.

As of today (2024-05-23), CRRC's current stock price is HK$4.73. CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$0.44. CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 10.75.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of CRRC was 771.00. The lowest was 5.55. And the median was 13.34.


CRRC Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CRRC Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

CRRC Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.26 0.26 0.31 0.38 0.39

CRRC Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.38 0.37 0.44 0.39 0.44

Competitive Comparison of CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Railroads subindustry, CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



CRRC Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, CRRC's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.585/115.2271*115.2271
=0.585

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 115.2271.

CRRC Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -1.029 98.200 -1.207
201409 0.190 98.900 0.221
201412 1.681 99.000 1.957
201503 -0.317 99.900 -0.366
201506 -0.349 99.500 -0.404
201509 -0.013 100.500 -0.015
201512 0.913 100.600 1.046
201603 -0.262 102.200 -0.295
201606 -0.281 101.400 -0.319
201609 0.428 102.400 0.482
201612 0.488 102.600 0.548
201703 -0.676 103.200 -0.755
201706 -0.144 103.100 -0.161
201709 0.264 104.100 0.292
201712 0.847 104.500 0.934
201803 -0.434 105.300 -0.475
201806 -0.134 104.900 -0.147
201809 0.330 106.600 0.357
201812 0.607 106.500 0.657
201903 -0.227 107.700 -0.243
201906 -0.390 107.700 -0.417
201909 0.258 109.800 0.271
201912 0.856 111.200 0.887
202003 -0.304 112.300 -0.312
202006 -0.280 110.400 -0.292
202009 -0.112 111.700 -0.116
202012 0.404 111.500 0.418
202103 -0.625 112.662 -0.639
202106 0.003 111.769 0.003
202109 0.372 112.215 0.382
202112 0.820 113.108 0.835
202203 -0.557 114.335 -0.561
202206 0.201 114.558 0.202
202209 0.409 115.339 0.409
202212 0.397 115.116 0.397
202303 -0.308 115.116 -0.308
202306 -0.361 114.558 -0.363
202309 0.322 115.339 0.322
202312 0.612 114.781 0.614
202403 0.585 115.227 0.585

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


CRRC  (HKSE:01766) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=4.73/0.44
=10.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of CRRC was 771.00. The lowest was 5.55. And the median was 13.34.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


CRRC Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CRRC's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CRRC (HKSE:01766) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 16-5, Central West Fourth Ring Road, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN, 100036
CRRC Corp Ltd manufactures products which are used for transportation through railroads. Its product portfolio includes rolling stock, rail transit vehicles, engineering machinery, electrical equipment and related parts, and environmental protection products. The company also engages in allied activities like refurbishment, leasing, technical support to clients, investment, and management, as well as import and export business. Its business operations are spread across Mainland China which derives the highest revenue, and a few other countries.

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