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Marriott International (BSP:M1TT34) Beneish M-Score : -2.44 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Marriott International Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marriott International's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:M1TT34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.15   Med: -2.45   Max: -1.71
Current: -2.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Marriott International was -1.71. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.45.


Marriott International Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marriott International's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marriott International Beneish M-Score Chart

Marriott International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.81 -2.40 -2.18 -2.45

Marriott International Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.39 -2.37 -2.45 -2.44

Competitive Comparison of Marriott International's Beneish M-Score

For the Lodging subindustry, Marriott International's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marriott International's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Marriott International's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marriott International's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Marriott International Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Marriott International for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0373+0.528 * 1.0462+0.404 * 1.0069+0.892 * 1.0284+0.115 * 0.9526
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.115+4.679 * -0.006096-0.327 * 1.096
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$13,680 Mil.
Revenue was 29764.265 + 29864.281 + 29276.614 + 29486.228 = R$118,391 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5925.962 + 5424.079 + 6899.364 + 6901.961 = R$25,151 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$17,180 Mil.
Total Assets was R$128,260 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$12,285 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$1,377 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$5,262 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$40,685 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$62,741 Mil.
Net Income was 2808.607 + 4155.03 + 3713.902 + 3523.786 = R$14,201 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -19.919 + -4.9 + 79.019 + -140.757 = R$-87 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3879.264 + 3679.75 + 4350.995 + 3159.759 = R$15,070 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$12,824 Mil.
Revenue was 29246.289 + 31068.504 + 27859.247 + 26944.623 = R$115,119 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6239.903 + 6708.867 + 6428.654 + 6208.671 = R$25,586 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$17,001 Mil.
Total Assets was R$129,501 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$13,433 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$1,427 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$4,589 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$36,299 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$58,977 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13679.511 / 118391.388) / (12823.573 / 115118.663)
=0.115545 / 0.111394
=1.0373

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(25586.095 / 115118.663) / (25151.366 / 118391.388)
=0.222258 / 0.212443
=1.0462

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17180.31 + 12285.167) / 128259.729) / (1 - (17000.87 + 13432.979) / 129501.422)
=0.770267 / 0.764992
=1.0069

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=118391.388 / 115118.663
=1.0284

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1426.52 / (1426.52 + 13432.979)) / (1376.84 / (1376.84 + 12285.167))
=0.096001 / 0.100779
=0.9526

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5261.899 / 118391.388) / (4588.688 / 115118.663)
=0.044445 / 0.039861
=1.115

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((62740.5 + 40684.966) / 128259.729) / ((58976.978 + 36298.733) / 129501.422)
=0.806375 / 0.735712
=1.096

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14201.325 - -86.557 - 15069.768) / 128259.729
=-0.006096

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Marriott International has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Marriott International Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Marriott International (BSP:M1TT34) Business Description

Address
7750 Wisconsin Avenue, Bethesda, MD, USA, 20814
Marriott operates 1.6 million rooms across roughly 30 brands. At the end of 2022, luxury represented roughly 10% of total rooms, while full service and limited service were about 40% and 50%, respectively. Marriott, Courtyard, and Sheraton are the largest brands, while Autograph, Tribute, Moxy, Aloft, and Element are newer lifestyle brands. Managed and franchised represent 99% of total rooms as of Sept. 30, 2023. North America makes up two thirds of total rooms. Managed, franchise, and incentive fees represent the vast majority of revenue and profitability for the company.

Marriott International (BSP:M1TT34) Headlines

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