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VMware (VMware) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $96.59 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is VMware Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), VMware's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $96.59. The stock price of VMware is $142.48. Therefore, VMware's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for VMware's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

VMW' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.72   Med: 1.37   Max: 2.75
Current: 1.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of VMware was 2.75. The lowest was 0.72. And the median was 1.37.

VMW's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 1.59 vs VMW: 1.48

VMware Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for VMware's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

VMware Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

VMware Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 68.96 89.85 103.44 93.98 97.88

VMware Quarterly Data
Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 93.67 94.64 97.88 101.35 96.59

Competitive Comparison of VMware's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, VMware's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


VMware's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, VMware's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VMware's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



VMware Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get VMware's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,678.56.

VMware's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.844211261935*3678.56+2547*0.8)/434.090
=96.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


VMware  (NYSE:VMW) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

VMware's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=142.48/96.589835701589
=1.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


VMware Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of VMware's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


VMware (VMware) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » VMware Inc (NYSE:VMW) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3401 Hillview Avenue, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 94304
VMware is an industry titan in virtualizing IT infrastructure and became a stand-alone entity after spinning off from Dell Technologies in November 2021. The software provider operates in three segments: licenses; subscriptions and software as a service; and services. VMware's solutions are used across IT infrastructure, application development, and cybersecurity teams, and the company takes a neutral approach to being the cohesion between cloud environments. The Palo Alto, California, firm operates and sells on a global scale, with about half its revenue from the United States, through direct sales, distributors, and partnerships.
Executives
Jean Pierre Brulard officer: EVP, Worldwide Sales 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Zane Rowe officer: Chief Financial Officer & EVP 1600 SMITH STREET, HQSEO, HOUSTON TX 77002
Sumit Dhawan officer: President 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Amy Fliegelman Olli officer: Sr. VP and General Counsel C/O VMWARE, INC., 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Pebbie L Verdecanna officer: Interim CAO 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Nicole Anasenes director 2600 ANSYS DRIVE, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Slta Spv-2 (gp), L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slta Spv-2, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slta V (gp), L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Technology Associates V, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Partners V De (aiv), L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Sl Spv-2, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Dell Inc 10 percent owner ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Rangarajan (raghu) Raghuram officer: EVP, Cloud Infrastructure 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304