Molycorp (XSWX:MCP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : CHF-243.60 (As of May. 24, 2024)

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What is Molycorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-24), Molycorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-243.60. The stock price of Molycorp is CHF0.36. Therefore, Molycorp's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Molycorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:MCP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked ^*
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 1.375
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Molycorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Molycorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Molycorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Molycorp Annual Data

Trend

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Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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Molycorp Quarterly Data
	Sep10	Dec10	Mar11	Jun11	Sep11	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13	Jun13	Sep13	Dec13	Mar14	Jun14	Sep14	Dec14	Mar15	Jun15
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Molycorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Molycorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Molycorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Molycorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Molycorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

Molycorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Molycorp's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = CHF-330.15.

Molycorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Jun15)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(14.862653310476	*	-330.14832	+	343.149	*	0.8)	/	278.033
	=	-16.66

Molycorp (XSWX:MCP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Molycorp's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	0.36	/	-16.661190654333
	=

Molycorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Molycorp (XSWX:MCP) Business Description

Industry

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Traded in Other Exchanges

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Address

Website

http://www.molycorp.com

Molycorp Inc, formerly known as Rare Earth Acquisitions LLC, was formed on March 4, 2010 as a new Delaware corporation. The Company manufactures custom engineered rare earth and rare metal products. Its business is organized into four reportable segments: Resources; Chemicals and Oxides; Magnetic Materials and Alloys; and Rare Metals. The Resources segment includes its operations at the Molycorp Mountain Pass Rare Earth Facility, where it conducts rare earth minerals extraction to produce: rare earth concentrates; REO, including lanthanum, cerium, neodymium, praseodymium, and yttrium; heavy rare earth concentrates, which include samarium, europium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, and others; and SorbXTM, a line of proprietary rare earth-based water treatment products. The Chemicals and Oxides segment includes: production of REO at its operations at Molycorp Silmet; separated heavy rare earth oxides and other custom engineered materials from its facilities in Jiangyin, Jiangsu Province, China; and production of REO, salts of rare earth elements, or REEs, zirconium-based engineered materials and mixed rare earth/zirconium oxides from its facilities in Zibo, Shandong Province, China. The Magnetic Materials and Alloys segment includes: the production of Neo Powders through its wholly-owned manufacturing facilities in Tianjin, China, and Korat, Thailand, under the Molycorp Magnequench brand. This operating segment also includes manufacturing of neodymium and samarium magnet alloys, other specialty alloy products and rare earth metals at its MMA facility, located in Tolleson, Arizona. The Rare Metals segment produces, reclaims, refines and markets high value niche metals and their compounds that include gallium, indium, rhenium, tantalum, and niobium. Applications from products made in this segment include wireless technologies, LED, flat panel display, turbine, solar, catalyst, steel additive, electronics applications, and others. The Company's operations are subject to numerous and detailed international, national, federal, state and local laws, regulations and permits affecting the mining and mineral processing industry, including those pertaining to employee health and safety, environmental permitting and licensing, air quality standards, greenhouse gas, or GHG, emissions, water usage and disposal, pollution, waste management, plant and wildlife protection, handling and disposal of radioactive substances, remediation of soil and groundwater contamination, land use, reclamation and restoration of properties, the discharge of materials into the environment and groundwater quality and availability.

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