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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-11), MISTRAS Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.70. The stock price of MISTRAS Group is $9.15. Therefore, MISTRAS Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.
The historical rank and industry rank for MISTRAS Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of MISTRAS Group was 1.87. The lowest was 0.23. And the median was 0.80.
The historical data trend for MISTRAS Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MISTRAS Group Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | May14 | May15 | May16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 18.67 | 18.03 | 16.68 | 14.55 | 13.14 |
MISTRAS Group Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 14.34 | 14.07 | 12.99 | 13.14 | 11.70 |
For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, MISTRAS Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, MISTRAS Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where MISTRAS Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get MISTRAS Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $22.80.
MISTRAS Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | 22.80256 | + | 187.145 | * | 0.8) | / | 31.356 | |
= | 11.70 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MISTRAS Group (NYSE:MG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
MISTRAS Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 9.15 | / | 11.698060610029 | |
= | 0.78 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MISTRAS Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Nicholas Debenedictis | director | GLATFELTER, 96 SOUTH GEORGE ST STE 420, YORK PA 17401 |
John Anthony Smith | officer: Executive Vice President | 195 CLARKSVILLE RD, PRINCETON JUNCTION NJ 08550 |
Gennaro A. D'alterio | officer: EVP, Chief Commercial Officer | PO BOX 144, HARLEYSVILLE PA 19438 |
Sotirios Vahaviolos January 2023 2-year Grantor Retained Annuity Trust | 10 percent owner | C/O MISTRAS GROUP, 195 CLARKSVILLE ROAD, PRINCETON JUNCTION NJ 08550 |
Richard H Glanton | director | C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Manuel N. Stamatakis | director | C/O MISTRAS GROUP, INC., 195 CLARKSVILLE ROAD, PRINCETON JUNCTION NJ 08550 |
Charles P Pizzi | director | C/O TASTY BAKING COMPANY, NAVY YARD CORP. CTR., THREE CRESCENT DR., PHILADELPHIA PA 19112 |
Michelle Lohmeier | director | C/O SPIRIT AEROSYSTEMS HOLDINGS, INC., WICHITA KS 67210 |
Dennis Bertolotti | officer: President and COO, Services | C/O MISTRAS GROUP, 195 CLARKSVILLE ROAD, PRINCETON JUNCTION NJ 08550 |
James J Forese | director, 10 percent owner | C/O SFN GROUP INC, 2050 SPECTRUM BOULEVARD, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33309 |
Wayne Curtis Weldon | director | 4687 WEST CHESTER PIKE, NEWTOWN SQUARE PA 19073 |
Sotirios J. Vahaviolos | director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, President and CEO | C/O MISTRAS GROUP, INC., 195 CLARKSVILLE ROAD, PRINCETON JUNCTION NJ 08550 |
Jonathan H Wolk | officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer | 3102 SHAWNEE DRIVE, WINCHESTER VA 22601 |
Michael C Keefe | officer: EVP, General Counsel | C/O MISTRAS GROUP, 195 CLARKSVILLE ROAD, PRINCETON JUNCTION NJ 08550 |
Edward J Prajzner | officer: Sr. VP, CFO and Treasurer | C/O TECHNITROL, INC., 1210 NORTHBROOK DRIVE, SUITE 470, TREVOSE PA 19053 |
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