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Postalvings Bank Of China Co (HKSE:01658) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$22.51 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Postalvings Bank Of China Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-06), Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$22.51. The stock price of Postalvings Bank Of China Co is HK$4.15. Therefore, Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01658' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.13   Med: 0.17   Max: 0.19
Current: 0.18

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Postalvings Bank Of China Co was 0.19. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.17.

HKSE:01658's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
84.47% of 1217 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.44 vs HKSE:01658: 0.18

Postalvings Bank Of China Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Postalvings Bank Of China Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Postalvings Bank Of China Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 40.96 25.05 22.51

Postalvings Bank Of China Co Quarterly Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 22.51 -

Competitive Comparison of Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Postalvings Bank Of China Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)



Postalvings Bank Of China Co  (HKSE:01658) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Postalvings Bank Of China Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.15/
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Postalvings Bank Of China Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Postalvings Bank Of China Co (HKSE:01658) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
248 Queen’s Road East, 40th Floor, Dah Sing Financial Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong, HKG
Postal Savings Bank of China is headquartered in Beijing. The bank is the fifth-largest commercial bank in China by deposits. The bank was established in 2007 as the postal savings and remittance business of its parent, China Post Group. The bank completed its joint-stock reform in 2012. The bank got listed on Hong Kong and Shanghai stock exchanges in 2016 and 2019 respectively. It boasts over 500 million individual customers and more than 40,000 outlets, which are among the largest customer bases and distribution networks in China.

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