Validus Holdings (Validus Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $ (As of Jun. 11, 2024)

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What is Validus Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-06-11), Validus Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Validus Holdings's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Validus Holdings is

The industry rank for Validus Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

VRpBCL.PFD's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 0.51
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Validus Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Validus Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Validus Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Validus Holdings Annual Data

Trend

Dec08

Dec09

Dec10

Dec11

Dec12

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

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Dec17

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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Validus Holdings Quarterly Data
	Sep13	Dec13	Mar14	Jun14	Sep14	Dec14	Mar15	Jun15	Sep15	Dec15	Mar16	Jun16	Sep16	Dec16	Mar17	Jun17	Sep17	Dec17	Mar18	Jun18
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Validus Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Insurance - Reinsurance subindustry, Validus Holdings's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Validus Holdings's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Validus Holdings's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Validus Holdings's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

Validus Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.45%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Validus Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(	-	26.01)	/

Validus Holdings (NYSE:VRpBCL.PFD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Validus Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Validus Holdings (Validus Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » Validus Holdings Ltd (NYSE:VRpBCL.PFD) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.validusholdings.com

Validus Holdings Ltd is a holding company for reinsurance and insurance operating companies and investment advisors. The company includes Validus Reinsurance, Talbot Underwriting, Western World Insurance Group, and AlphaCat Managers. Validus Reinsurance is a Bermuda-based reinsurer focused on treaty reinsurance. Talbot is a specialty insurance group that mainly operates in the Lloyd's insurance market. Western World Insurance Group is a U.S. specialty lines insurance company that specialises in excess and surplus lines. AlphaCat Managers provides investment and capital-management advice for third parties and Validus insurance-linked securities, as well as other property-catastrophe and specialty reinsurance investments.

Executives

Karin Hirtler-garvey	director	112 W. 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10120
Patrick Boisvert	officer: Group Chief Accounting Officer	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, LTD, 29 RICHMOND ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM08
Gail M Ross	director	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, LTD., 29 RICHMOND RD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Peter Anthony Bilsby	officer: CEO, Talbot Underwriting Ltd.	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, LTD., 29 RICHMOND ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Christopher E Watson	director	C/O VALIDUS HOLDINGS, 48 PAR-LA-VILLE ROAD, SUITE 1790, HAMILTON HM11 D0 HM11
Michael Richard Moore	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O VALIDUS HOLDINGS, 29 RICHMOND RD, PEMBROKE D0 HM08
Therese M Vaughan	director	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, THE CHARTIS BUILDING / 29 RICHMOND ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Karen Salam	officer: EVP, Group Chief Risk Officer	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, THE CHARTIS BUILDING/29 RICHMOND ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM08
Lixin Zeng	officer: Pres, CEO Alpha Cat & Research	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, 29 RICHMOND RD. / CHARTIS HOUSE, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Kean Driscoll	officer: CEO, Validus Reinsurance, Ltd.	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, 29 RICHMOND RD. / CHARTIS HOUSE, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Jeffrey Sangster	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, 29 RICHMOND RD. / CHARTIS HOUSE, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Mahmoud Abdallah	director	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, 29 RICHMOND ROAD / CHARTIS HOUSE, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Andrew E. Kudera	officer: EVP, Chief Actuary	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, THE CHARTIS BUILDING / 29 RICHMOND ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Robert F Kuzloski	officer: EVP, Chief Corp. Legal Officer	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, THE CHARTIS HOUSE / 29 RICHMOND ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Andrew Mark Gibbs	officer: EVP, Group Controller	VALIDUS HOLDINGS, THE CHARTIS BUILDING / 29 RICHMOND ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08