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Beyond Meat (Beyond Meat) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-18.60 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Beyond Meat Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-15), Beyond Meat's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-18.60.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Beyond Meat's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Beyond Meat is N/A.

The industry rank for Beyond Meat's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BYND's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 1.03
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Beyond Meat Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Beyond Meat's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Beyond Meat Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Beyond Meat Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Beyond Meat Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Beyond Meat's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Beyond Meat's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beyond Meat's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Beyond Meat's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beyond Meat's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Beyond Meat Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.34%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Beyond Meat's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was -22.10%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-1.612.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Beyond Meat's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-1.612*11.5406
=-18.60

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-18.6-7.68)/-18.6
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Beyond Meat  (NAS:BYND) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Beyond Meat Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Beyond Meat (Beyond Meat) Business Description

Address
119 Standard Street, El Segundo, CA, USA, 90245
Beyond Meat Inc is a provider of plant-based meats, such as burgers, sausage, ground beef, and chicken. Unlike other vegetarian products, Beyond Meat seeks to replicate the look, cook, and taste of meat targeted to omnivores and vegetarians alike and is sold in the meat case. The products are widely available across the U.S. and Canada and in 83 additional countries as well. International revenue represented 31% of 2021 sales. The firm's products are available in retail stores and the food service channel. In 2019, before the pandemic struck, sales were evenly split between these two channels, although the mix stood at 70% retail/30% food service in 2021. We think the recovery from the crisis and new deals with McDonald's and Yum Brands will return food-service sales to 50% in time.
Executives
Chad M Peffer officer: Interim Chief Growth Officer C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 888 N. DOUGLAS STREET, SUITE 100, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
C James Koch director C/O THE BOSTON BEER COMPANY, ONE DESIGN CENTER PLACE, SUITE 850, BOSTON MA 02210
Akerho Oghoghomeh officer: See Remarks C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD STREET, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Dariush Ajami officer: Chief Innovation Officer C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 1325 E. EL SEGUNDO BLVD., EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Lubi Kutua officer: CFO, Treasurer C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD STREET, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Beth Moskowitz officer: Chief Creative Officer C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD STREET, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Sharman Robert M Jr officer: See Remarks C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD STREET, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Henry Dieu officer: See Remarks. C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD STREET, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Brad Hiranaga officer: SEE REMARKS C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD STREET, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Jay Colleen director C/O THE COOPER COMPANIES, INC., 6140 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, SUITE 590, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Diane Carhart director C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 1325 E. EL SEGUNDO BLVD., EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Teri L Witteman officer: General Counsel, Secretary 20333 S. NORMANDIE AVE, TORRANCE CA 90502
George Bernard Adcock officer: Chief Suppy Chain Officer C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD ST., EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Douglas Wayne Ramsey officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD STREET, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Jonathan P Nelson officer: Interim COO C/O BEYOND MEAT, INC., 119 STANDARD STREET, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245