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Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund (Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-3.49 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-16), Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-3.49.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund is N/A.

The industry rank for Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BGB's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 1.1
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.34%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.302.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.302*11.5406
=-3.49

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-3.49-12.12)/-3.49
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund  (NYSE:BGB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund (Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
345 Park Avenue, 31st Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10154
Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund is a closed-end term fund. Its primary investment objective is to seek high current income. The secondary objective of the fund is to seek the preservation of capital. It invests primarily in diversified portfolios or loans and other fixed-income instruments of predominantly US Corporate issuers, including first? and second?lien loans (Senior Secured Loans) and high-yield corporate bonds of varying maturities.
Executives
Gordon Mckemie other: Portfolio Manager C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Valerie Naratil officer: Public Relations Officer 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Metlife Investment Management, Llc 10 percent owner ONE METLIFE WAY, WHIPPANY NJ 07981
William J Renahan officer: Chief Compliance Officer 399 PARK AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gregory Roppa officer: CFO & Treasurer 601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jane Siebels director 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Robert Post other: Portfolio Manager C/O GSO/BLACKSTONE DEBT FUNDS MGMT, LLC, 345 PARK AVE 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Robert W Busch officer: CFO & Treasurer C/O HPS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LLC, 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Robert Zable other: Portfolio Mngr,Mbr of Inv.Comm 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80203
Voya Financial, Inc. 10 percent owner 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Lion Connecticut Holdings Inc. 10 percent owner ONE ORANGE WAY, WINDSOR CT 06095
Ing Usa Annuity & Life Insurance Co 10 percent owner 699 WALNUT STREET, SUITE 1350, DE MOINES IA 50309-3942
Ing Life Insurance & Annuity Co 10 percent owner ONE ORANGE WAY, WINDSOR CT 06095-4774
Sun Life Financial Inc 10 percent owner SUN LIFE ASSURANCE CO OF CANADA, ONE YORK STREET, TORONTO A6 M5J 0B6
Sun Life Assurance Co Of Canada 10 percent owner ONE YORK STREET, TORONTO A6 M5J 0B6

Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund (Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund) Headlines