South Jersey Industries (South Jersey Industries) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $14.13 (As of May. 06, 2024)

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What is South Jersey Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), South Jersey Industries's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $14.13.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

South Jersey Industries's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for South Jersey Industries is -155.41%.

The historical rank and industry rank for South Jersey Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SJI' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.79 Med: 2 Max: 2.7
Current: 1.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of South Jersey Industries was 2.70. The lowest was 0.79. And the median was 2.00.

SJI's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 1.17 vs SJI: 1.60

South Jersey Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for South Jersey Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

South Jersey Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

South Jersey Industries Annual Data

Trend

Dec12

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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33.18

South Jersey Industries Quarterly Data
	Dec17	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	33.18	26.71	26.87	22.53

Competitive Comparison of South Jersey Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, South Jersey Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

South Jersey Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, South Jersey Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where South Jersey Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

South Jersey Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> South Jersey Industries's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 4.70%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.224.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

South Jersey Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

1.224

11.5406

14.13

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(14.13	-	36.09)	/	14.13
	=	-155.41 %

South Jersey Industries (NYSE:SJI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

South Jersey Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of South Jersey Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

South Jersey Industries (South Jersey Industries) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Regulated » South Jersey Industries Inc (NYSE:SJI) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1 South Jersey Plaza, Folsom, NJ, USA, 08037

Website

https://www.sjindustries.com

South Jersey Industries Inc is a New Jersey holding company that acquires and develops utility companies. Through its many subsidiaries, SJI is primarily involved in transmitting, distributing, and selling natural gas and electricity in the mid-Atlantic U.S. The company segments its operations into gas utility operations and energy group businesses. The majority of SJI's total revenue comes from its gas utility operations, which encompasses the company's principal subsidiary: South Jersey Gas. SJG purchases, transmit, and sells natural gas primarily for residential consumers in southern New Jersey. The energy group also represents a significant income stream through its wholesale energy and retail electric services.

Executives

G Edison Holland	director	270 PEACHTREE ST NW BIN 910, ATLANTA GA 30303
Kevin M. O'dowd	director	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Eric Moss Stein	officer: SVP, General Counsel	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Leonard Jr Brinson	officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Karen L Phillips	officer: SVP, Human Resources	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Christopher Paladino	director	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Sheila Hartnett-devlin	director, Director	SOUTH JERSEY INDUSTRIES, 1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Sunita Holzer	director	SOUTH JERSEY INDUSTRIES, 1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Kathleen D Larkin	officer: SVP & CHRO	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Cielo Hernandez	officer: SVP & CFO	C/O XL FLEET CORP., 145 NEWTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02135
Ann T Anthony	officer: Treasurer	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Walter M Higgins	director	SOUTH JERSEY INDUSTRIES, 1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Michael J Renna	officer: Vice President	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Melissa Orsen	officer: SVP & General Counsel	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Steven R Cocchi	officer: SVP, Strategy & Growth	1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037