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Mid-Southern Bancorp (Mid-Southern Bancorp) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $18.06 (As of Jun. 11, 2024)


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What is Mid-Southern Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-06-11), Mid-Southern Bancorp's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $18.06.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Mid-Southern Bancorp's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Mid-Southern Bancorp is 22.18%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mid-Southern Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MSVB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.66
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Mid-Southern Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mid-Southern Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mid-Southern Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Mid-Southern Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Sep02 Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Mid-Southern Bancorp Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Mid-Southern Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Mid-Southern Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mid-Southern Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Mid-Southern Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mid-Southern Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Mid-Southern Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.43%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Mid-Southern Bancorp's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 31.00%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.5778.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Mid-Southern Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.5778*31.2501
=18.06

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (18.06 - 14.055) / 18.06
= 22.18 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mid-Southern Bancorp  (OTCPK:MSVB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Mid-Southern Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Mid-Southern Bancorp (Mid-Southern Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
300 North Water Street, Salem, IN, USA, 47167
Mid-Southern Bancorp Inc is a United States-based savings and loan holding company of Mid-Southern Savings Bank. It is engaged in providing a variety of banking services to individuals and business customers. The bank offers personal banking and business banking services. Its services portfolio comprises checking, savings, card services, and loan products. It also offers online and mobile banking facilities. The company derives revenue from interest on loans and, to a lesser extent, interest on investment securities and mortgage-backed securities.
Executives
Eric A. Koch director 300 N. WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
James O. King officer: EVP and Senior Loan Officer 300 N. WATER ST., SALEM IN 47167
Robert W. Derossett officer: Chief Financial Officer 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Alexander G. Babey director, officer: President and CEO 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Charles W. Lamb director 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Erica B. Schmidt officer: Executive VP and CFO 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Trent L. Fisher director 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Frank M. Benson officer: Executive VP, SLO 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Larry R. Bailey director 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Brent A. Rosenbaum director 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Dana J. Dunbar director, other: Chairman of the Board 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Kermit A. Lamb director 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167
Paul G. Allemeier director 300 NORTH WATER STREET, SALEM IN 47167