Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings (Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 05, 2024)

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What is Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings is

The historical rank and industry rank for Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AAWW's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Transportation industry.
Industry Median: 0.87
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Annual Data

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Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Quarterly Data
	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Airports & Air Services subindustry, Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(	-	102.48)	/

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings (NAS:AAWW) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings (Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Inc (NAS:AAWW) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2000 Westchester Avenue, Purchase, NY, USA, 10577-2543

Website

https://www.atlasairworldwide.com

Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Inc is a provider of outsourced aircraft and aviation operating services and the outsourced airfreight provider in the world. Company operates a fleet of 747 freighters and provides customers with a broad array of 747, 777, 767 and 737 aircraft for domestic, regional and international cargo and passenger operations. The company has operations in Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, the Middle East, North America and South America. The company's business is organized into two operating segments based on service offerings: 1) Airline Operations include providing cargo aircraft outsourcing services to customers on an ACMI, CMI and Charter basis. 2) Dry Leasing business provides aircraft and engines to customers, including CMI customers, for a fixed monthly amount.

Executives

John W Dietrich	officer: SVP/Gen Cnsl/Secretary, other: Chf. HR Off
Walter G Borst	director	2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Raymond L. Conner	director	ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC., 19300 INTERNATIONAL BLVD, SEATTLE WA 98188
George Willis	director	55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Adam Richard Kokas	officer: Sr. V.P., Gen. Counsel & Secy.	C/O ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC., 2000 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, PURCHASE NY 10577
Michael Steen	officer: SVP & Chief Marketing Officer	2000 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, PURCHASE NY 10577
John K Wulff	director	C/O HERCULES INC, 1313 NORTH MARKET STREET, WILMINGTON DE 19894-0001
Keith H. Mayer	officer: Vice President & Controller	ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC., 2000 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, PURCHASE NY 10577
Duncan J. Mcnabb	director	C/O ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC., 2000 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, PURCHASE NY 10577
Sheila A Stamps	director	C/O CIT GROUP, 1 CIT DRIVE, ATTN: GENERAL COUNSEL, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
James Anthony Forbes	officer: EVP & COO	C/O ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC., 2000 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, PURCHASE NY 10577
Carol J Zierhoffer	director	100 NORTH POINT CENTER EAST, SUITE 200, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Beverly K. Goulet,	director	10990 ROE AVENUE, OVERLAND PARK KS 66211
William J Flynn	director, officer: Pres. & CEO	C/O ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC., 2000 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, PURCHASE NY 10577
Spencer Schwartz	officer: Vice President & Controller	C/O ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC., 2000 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, PURCHASE NY 10577