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Old Chang Kee (SGX:5ML) Graham Number : S$0.73 (As of Sep. 2023)


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What is Old Chang Kee Graham Number?

Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-05-14), the stock price of Old Chang Kee is S$0.72. Old Chang Kee's graham number for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2023 was S$0.73. Therefore, Old Chang Kee's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 0.99.

The historical rank and industry rank for Old Chang Kee's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

SGX:5ML' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.9   Med: 1.53   Max: 2.23
Current: 0.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Old Chang Kee was 2.23. The lowest was 0.90. And the median was 1.53.

SGX:5ML's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked better than
81% of 200 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.91 vs SGX:5ML: 0.99

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Old Chang Kee Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Old Chang Kee's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Old Chang Kee Graham Number Chart

Old Chang Kee Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Graham Number
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.43 0.33 0.69 0.58 0.63

Old Chang Kee Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Graham Number Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.58 0.57 0.54 0.62 0.73

Competitive Comparison of Old Chang Kee's Graham Number

For the Restaurants subindustry, Old Chang Kee's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Old Chang Kee's Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Old Chang Kee's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Old Chang Kee's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



Old Chang Kee Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Old Chang Kee's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Mar. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*0.336*0.053)
=0.63

Old Chang Kee's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*0.361*0.065)
=0.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Old Chang Kee  (SGX:5ML) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Old Chang Kee's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Sep. 2023 )
=0.72/0.73
=0.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Old Chang Kee Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Old Chang Kee's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Old Chang Kee (SGX:5ML) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2 Woodlands Terrace, Singapore, SGP, 738427
Old Chang Kee Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of food products. The company's products include curry puffs, fishballs, chicken nuggets, and chicken wings. It also provides catering services in Singapore. The company's geographical segments include Singapore, Australia, and Malaysia, and derives a majority of its revenue from Singapore. The company is engaged in the manufacture and sale of food products under the Old Chang Kee brand name, Bun Times retail outlets offer Hainanese buns with a range of fillings, such as curry chicken and coconut, and the Curry Times, Take 5 and Mushroom to dine in retail outlets carry a range of local delights, such as laksa, mee siam, nasi lemak, and curry chicken.

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