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Mama`s Creations (Mama`s Creations) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.48 (As of Jan24)


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What is Mama`s Creations Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan24, Mama`s Creations's earnings power value is $1.48. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -362.91

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Mama`s Creations Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mama`s Creations's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mama`s Creations Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Mama`s Creations Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.16 0.95 0.59 0.95 1.48

Mama`s Creations Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.95 1.14 1.23 1.36 1.48

Competitive Comparison of Mama`s Creations's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Mama`s Creations's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mama`s Creations's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Mama`s Creations's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mama`s Creations's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Mama`s Creations Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Mama`s Creations's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 63.6
DDA 1.4
Operating Margin % 5.41
SGA * 25% 3.3
Tax Rate % 7.98
Maintenance Capex 0.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents 11.0
Short-Term Debt 4.3
Long-Term Debt 8.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 42.3

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 5.41%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $63.6 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 5.41%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.3,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 63.6 * 5.41% +3.3 = $6.761417495 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 7.98%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $6.761417495 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 6.761417495 * ( 1 - 7.98% ) = $6.2218225718115 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.4 * 0.5 * 7.98% = $0.0542594195 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 6.2218225718115 + 0.0542594195 = $6.2760819913115 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Mama`s Creations's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.5 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Mama`s Creations's current cash and cash equivalent = $11.0 Mil.
Mama`s Creations's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 8.8 + 4.3 = $13.095 Mil.
Mama`s Creations's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 42.3 Mil.

Mama`s Creations's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 6.2760819913115 - 0.5)/ 9%+11.0-13.095 )/42.3
=1.48

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.4754552267368-6.83 )/1.4754552267368
= -362.91%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Mama`s Creations  (NAS:MAMA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Mama`s Creations Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Mama`s Creations (Mama`s Creations) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
25 Branca Road, East Rutherford, NJ, USA, 07073
Mama`s Creations Inc is a marketer and manufacturer of fresh deli-prepared foods, found in over 8,400 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores nationally. The Company's broad product portfolio, born from a rich history in Italian foods, now consists of a variety of high-quality, fresh, clean, and easy-to-prepare foods to address the needs of both consumers and retailers.
Executives
Matthew Brown director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 454 TILLOU ROAD, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Shirley Romig director TWO LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 300, STAMFORD CT 06901
Meghan Henson director RADNOR CORPORATE CENTER, BUILDING ONE, SUITE 200, 100 MATSONFORD ROAD, RADNOR PA 19087
Adam Laurance Michaels director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 34 HASTINGS DRIVE, TENAFLY NJ 07670
Anthony Gruber officer: Chief Financial Officer 25 BRANCA ROAD, EAST RUTHERFORD NJ 07073
Haley Patrick Connor director 640 TAYLOR STREET, SUITE 2522, FORT WORTH TX 76102
David Mcguire director 10599 WILSHIRE BLVD. SUITE 307, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Dean Janeway director, officer: Vice-President 164 SUNSET LANE, MANTOLOKING NJ 08738
Carl T Wolf director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 627 INWOOD LANE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Steven R. Burns director 635 PROSPECT STREET, MAPLEWOOD NJ 07040
Daniel Joseph Altobello director 6550 ROCK SPRING DR, SUITE 550, BETHESDA MD 20817
Thomas G. Toto director 34 BOURBON STREET, WAYNE NJ 07079
Lewis H Ochs officer: Vice-President of Finance 5102 CHESTERWOOD WAY, SOMERSET NJ 08873
Alfred D'agostino director 133 CUMBERLAND COURT, PARAMUS NJ 07652