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Quam Plus International Financial (HKSE:00952) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$12.21 (As of Dec23)


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What is Quam Plus International Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Quam Plus International Financial's earnings power value is HK$12.21. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 98.06

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Quam Plus International Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Quam Plus International Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Quam Plus International Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Quam Plus International Financial Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.12 0.34 -0.39 13.30 12.21

Quam Plus International Financial Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.39 - 13.30 - 12.21

Competitive Comparison of Quam Plus International Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Quam Plus International Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Quam Plus International Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Quam Plus International Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Quam Plus International Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Quam Plus International Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Quam Plus International Financial's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 611.9
DDA 42.1
Operating Margin % 1,014.06
SGA * 25% 8.2
Tax Rate % -8.72
Maintenance Capex 9.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents 824.3
Short-Term Debt 686.1
Long-Term Debt 49.4
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 6,145.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1,014.06%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$611.9 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1,014.06%, Average Adjusted SGA = 8.2,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 611.9 * 1,014.06% +8.2 = HK$6213.560925792 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -8.72%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$6213.560925792 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 6213.560925792 * ( 1 - -8.72% ) = HK$6755.3834385211 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 42.1 * 0.5 * -8.72% = HK$-1.83372008 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 6755.3834385211 + -1.83372008 = HK$6753.5497184411 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Quam Plus International Financial's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$9.3 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Quam Plus International Financial's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$824.3 Mil.
Quam Plus International Financial's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 49.4 + 686.1 = HK$735.522 Mil.
Quam Plus International Financial's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 6,145.9 Mil.

Quam Plus International Financial's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 6753.5497184411 - 9.3)/ 9%+824.3-735.522 )/6,145.9
=12.21

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 12.207301593213-0.237 )/12.207301593213
= 98.06%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Quam Plus International Financial  (HKSE:00952) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Quam Plus International Financial Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Quam Plus International Financial (HKSE:00952) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
29 Queen’s Road Central, 18th and 19th Floor, China Building, Hong Kong, HKG
Quam Plus International Financial Ltd Formerly China Tonghai International Financial Ltd is an investment holding company. Its activities include corporate finance advisory and general advisory services; fund management, discretionary portfolio management and portfolio management advisory services; discretionary and non-discretionary dealing services for securities, futures and options, securities placing and underwriting services, margin financing, insurance broking and wealth management services; money lending services; financial media services; and investing and trading of various investment products. Its segments include corporate finance; asset management; brokerage; interest income; investments; and others segment.
Executives
Lam Kin Hing Kenneth 2101 Beneficial owner
Han Xiaosheng 2101 Beneficial owner
Quam Tonghai Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Lu Zhiqiang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Guo Fan Hai Kong Gu Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Fan Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fan Hai Kong Gu Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fan Hai Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tong Hai Kong Gu You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fan Hai Kong Gu Guo Ji Jin Rong Fa Zhan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
So Kit Yee Anita 2501 Other
Tsui Chi Chiu 2501 Other
Haitong International Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Haitong International Investment Solutions Limited 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Haitong International Securities Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Quam Plus International Financial (HKSE:00952) Headlines

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