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Hallmark Financial Services (Hallmark Financial Services) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $118.27 (As of Sep23)


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What is Hallmark Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep23, Hallmark Financial Services's earnings power value is $118.27. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 99.99

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Hallmark Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hallmark Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hallmark Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Hallmark Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 259.48 271.26 263.42 283.71 196.15

Hallmark Financial Services Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 228.69 196.15 174.23 174.63 118.27

Competitive Comparison of Hallmark Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Hallmark Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hallmark Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Hallmark Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hallmark Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Hallmark Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Hallmark Financial Services's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 328.9
DDA 3.6
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 0.0
Tax Rate % 10.76
Maintenance Capex 2.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents 343.4
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 105.5
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $328.9 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 328.9 * 0.00% +0.0 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 10.76%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 10.76% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 3.6 * 0.5 * 10.76% = $0.194025747 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.194025747 = $0.194025747 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Hallmark Financial Services's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $2.3 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Hallmark Financial Services's current cash and cash equivalent = $343.4 Mil.
Hallmark Financial Services's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 105.5 + 0.0 = $105.475 Mil.
Hallmark Financial Services's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1.8 Mil.

Hallmark Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.194025747 - 2.3)/ 9%+343.4-105.475 )/1.8
=118.27

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 118.27384028236-0.006 )/118.27384028236
= 99.99%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Hallmark Financial Services  (OTCPK:HALL) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Hallmark Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hallmark Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hallmark Financial Services (Hallmark Financial Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5420 Lyndon B. Johnson Freeway, Suite 1100, Two Lincoln Centre, Dallas, TX, USA, 75240
Hallmark Financial Services Inc is an insurance holding company, which is engaged in the sale of property/casualty insurance products to businesses and individuals. Its business involves marketing, distributing, underwriting, and servicing insurance products, as well as providing other insurance-related services. The company operates in segments such as Standard Commercial Segment, Specialty Commercial Segment, and Personal Segment. Geographically, it operates through the region of United States and derives a majority of its revenue from Specialty Commercial Segment, which includes Commercial Auto business unit, E&S Casualty business unit, E&S Property business unit, Professional Liability business unit, and Aerospace & Programs business unit.
Executives
Doug Slape director 5420 LYNDON B JOHNSON FREEWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75240
Christopher James Kenney officer: Chief Accounting Officer 5420 LYNDON B JOHNSON FREEWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75240-2345
Naveen Anand officer: President & CEO 777 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1000, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Scott T Berlin director 14651 DALLAS PARKWAY STE 900, DALLAS TX 75254
James H Graves director ERWIN GRAVES & ASSOCIATES, 2100 MCKINNEY AVE STE 900, DALLAS TX 75205
Jeffrey R Passmore officer: CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER 777 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1000, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Mark E Pape director 12050 MEADOW LAKE DRIVE, ARGYLE TX 76226
Kevin Kasitz officer: PRESIDENT OF SUBSIDIARY
Mark E Schwarz director, 10 percent owner, officer: C.E.O. & CHAIRMAN 5420 LYNDON B. JOHNSON FREEWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75240
Mark J Morrison officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 777 W MAIN STREET, SUITE 1000, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Ncm Services, Inc. 10 percent owner 5420 LYNDON B. JOHNSON FREEWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75240
Schwarz 2012 Family Trust 10 percent owner 5420 LYNDON B. JOHNSON FREEWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75240
Detroit Stoker Co other: See Explanation 1510 E. FIRST ST., MONROE MI 48161
Jim W Henderson director
Newcastle Special Opportunity Fund I, L.p. other: see attached explanation 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1400, DALLAS TX 75201

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