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Canfor (TSX:CFP) E10 : C$2.77 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Canfor E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Canfor's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was C$-0.540. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is C$2.77 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Canfor's average E10 Growth Rate was -10.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 32.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 33.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Canfor was 178.80% per year. The lowest was -37.90% per year. And the median was 21.15% per year.

As of today (2024-05-21), Canfor's current stock price is C$15.31. Canfor's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was C$2.77. Canfor's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 5.53.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Canfor was 791.67. The lowest was 4.77. And the median was 21.26.


Canfor E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canfor's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canfor E10 Chart

Canfor Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.85 1.22 2.43 3.21 2.84

Canfor Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.08 2.98 2.96 2.84 2.77

Competitive Comparison of Canfor's E10

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Canfor's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canfor's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Canfor's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canfor's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Canfor E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Canfor's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=-0.54/126.2576*126.2576
=-0.540

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 126.2576.

Canfor Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 0.390 99.473 0.495
201409 0.340 99.394 0.432
201412 0.230 98.367 0.295
201503 0.220 99.789 0.278
201506 0.080 100.500 0.101
201509 -0.130 100.421 -0.163
201512 0.010 99.947 0.013
201603 0.200 101.054 0.250
201606 0.270 102.002 0.334
201609 0.380 101.765 0.471
201612 0.290 101.449 0.361
201703 0.500 102.634 0.615
201706 0.610 103.029 0.748
201709 0.510 103.345 0.623
201712 1.010 103.345 1.234
201803 0.870 105.004 1.046
201806 1.320 105.557 1.579
201809 0.980 105.636 1.171
201812 -0.390 105.399 -0.467
201903 -0.690 106.979 -0.814
201906 -0.380 107.690 -0.446
201909 -0.710 107.611 -0.833
201912 -0.310 107.769 -0.363
202003 -0.560 107.927 -0.655
202006 0.480 108.401 0.559
202009 1.740 108.164 2.031
202012 2.680 108.559 3.117
202103 3.420 110.298 3.915
202106 5.810 111.720 6.566
202109 1.680 112.905 1.879
202112 -0.170 113.774 -0.189
202203 4.290 117.646 4.604
202206 3.020 120.806 3.156
202209 0.710 120.648 0.743
202212 -1.660 120.964 -1.733
202303 -1.170 122.702 -1.204
202306 -0.360 124.203 -0.366
202309 -0.190 125.230 -0.192
202312 -0.970 125.072 -0.979
202403 -0.540 126.258 -0.540

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Canfor  (TSX:CFP) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Canfor's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=15.31/2.77
=5.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Canfor was 791.67. The lowest was 4.77. And the median was 21.26.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Canfor E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canfor's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canfor (TSX:CFP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100-1700 West 75th Avenue, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6P 6G2
Canfor is a softwood lumber company that also owns around half of Canfor Pulp. It is active throughout North America and Europe, with lumber mills in British Columbia, Alberta, the Southeastern United States, and Sweden. It has two reportable segments: lumber and pulp and paper. The lumber segment includes Canfor's sawmilling and remanufacturing operations and the pulp and paper segment includes the kraft pulp, kraft paper, and bleached chemi-thermomechanical pulp businesses of Canfor Pulp.

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