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Canfor (TSX:CFP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : C$2.98 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Canfor Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canfor's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was C$-1.551. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$2.98 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Canfor's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -8.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 28.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 36.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 24.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Canfor was 136.00% per year. The lowest was -56.10% per year. And the median was 14.20% per year.

As of today (2024-05-21), Canfor's current stock price is C$15.31. Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was C$2.98. Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 5.14.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Canfor was 264.43. The lowest was 4.43. And the median was 17.90.


Canfor Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canfor Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Canfor Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.92 1.43 2.84 3.48 3.01

Canfor Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.27 3.16 3.19 3.01 2.98

Competitive Comparison of Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Canfor Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Canfor's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=-1.551/126.2576*126.2576
=-1.551

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 126.2576.

Canfor Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 1.034 99.473 1.312
201409 0.414 99.394 0.526
201412 0.410 98.367 0.526
201503 -0.092 99.789 -0.116
201506 0.575 100.500 0.722
201509 -0.009 100.421 -0.011
201512 -0.367 99.947 -0.464
201603 0.029 101.054 0.036
201606 1.183 102.002 1.464
201609 0.689 101.765 0.855
201612 0.735 101.449 0.915
201703 0.255 102.634 0.314
201706 1.445 103.029 1.771
201709 0.531 103.345 0.649
201712 0.485 103.345 0.593
201803 0.123 105.004 0.148
201806 2.195 105.557 2.625
201809 0.657 105.636 0.785
201812 -1.963 105.399 -2.351
201903 -1.788 106.979 -2.110
201906 0.982 107.690 1.151
201909 -0.466 107.611 -0.547
201912 0.457 107.769 0.535
202003 -0.478 107.927 -0.559
202006 2.126 108.401 2.476
202009 3.191 108.164 3.725
202012 2.126 108.559 2.473
202103 1.953 110.298 2.236
202106 8.225 111.720 9.295
202109 2.340 112.905 2.617
202112 -0.639 113.774 -0.709
202203 1.674 117.646 1.797
202206 4.562 120.806 4.768
202209 0.372 120.648 0.389
202212 -2.708 120.964 -2.827
202303 -2.528 122.702 -2.601
202306 0.344 124.203 0.350
202309 0.106 125.230 0.107
202312 -1.514 125.072 -1.528
202403 -1.551 126.258 -1.551

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Canfor  (TSX:CFP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=15.31/2.98
=5.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Canfor was 264.43. The lowest was 4.43. And the median was 17.90.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Canfor Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canfor's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canfor (TSX:CFP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100-1700 West 75th Avenue, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6P 6G2
Canfor is a softwood lumber company that also owns around half of Canfor Pulp. It is active throughout North America and Europe, with lumber mills in British Columbia, Alberta, the Southeastern United States, and Sweden. It has two reportable segments: lumber and pulp and paper. The lumber segment includes Canfor's sawmilling and remanufacturing operations and the pulp and paper segment includes the kraft pulp, kraft paper, and bleached chemi-thermomechanical pulp businesses of Canfor Pulp.

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