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Orlen (STU:PKY1) E10 : €4.30 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Orlen E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Orlen's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.544. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is €4.30 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Orlen's average E10 Growth Rate was 9.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 40.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Orlen was 40.90% per year. The lowest was 40.90% per year. And the median was 40.90% per year.

As of today (2024-06-11), Orlen's current stock price is €14.42. Orlen's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €4.30. Orlen's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 3.35.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Orlen was 11.89. The lowest was 3.09. And the median was 4.88.


Orlen E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orlen's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orlen E10 Chart

Orlen Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.43 1.95 3.29 4.24

Orlen Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.60 3.95 3.78 4.24 4.30

Competitive Comparison of Orlen's E10

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Orlen's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orlen's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Orlen's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orlen's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Orlen E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Orlen's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.544/149.0435*149.0435
=0.544

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 149.0435.

Orlen Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 -2.777 101.180 -4.091
201409 0.288 100.611 0.427
201412 -0.651 100.122 -0.969
201503 0.405 100.041 0.603
201506 0.729 100.448 1.082
201509 0.425 99.634 0.636
201512 -0.043 99.471 -0.064
201603 0.181 98.983 0.273
201606 0.859 99.552 1.286
201609 0.816 99.064 1.228
201612 0.955 100.366 1.418
201703 1.026 101.018 1.514
201706 0.823 101.180 1.212
201709 0.857 101.343 1.260
201712 0.850 102.564 1.235
201803 0.558 102.564 0.811
201806 0.930 103.378 1.341
201809 1.104 103.378 1.592
201812 0.377 103.785 0.541
201903 0.453 104.274 0.647
201906 0.857 105.983 1.205
201909 0.677 105.983 0.952
201912 0.311 107.123 0.433
202003 -1.200 109.076 -1.640
202006 2.324 109.402 3.166
202009 0.347 109.320 0.473
202012 -0.002 109.565 -0.003
202103 0.985 112.658 1.303
202106 1.191 113.960 1.558
202109 1.554 115.588 2.004
202112 2.212 119.088 2.768
202203 1.481 125.031 1.765
202206 1.929 131.705 2.183
202209 5.355 135.531 5.889
202212 3.665 139.113 3.927
202303 1.835 145.950 1.874
202306 0.903 147.009 0.915
202309 0.681 146.113 0.695
202312 0.720 147.741 0.726
202403 0.544 149.044 0.544

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Orlen  (STU:PKY1) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Orlen's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=14.42/4.3
=3.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Orlen was 11.89. The lowest was 3.09. And the median was 4.88.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Orlen E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Orlen's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Orlen (STU:PKY1) Business Description

Address
Chemikow 7 Street, Plock, POL, 09-411
Orlen SA is an energy conglomerate that refines and distributes oil in Poland, the Czech Republic, Germany, and Lithuania. Through a group of refineries, it processes crude oil into gasoline, diesel oil, fuel oil, and aviation fuel. The company also produces petrochemicals and products used by chemical companies as feedstock. Additional operations include exploration and production activities in Poland, where it is domiciled, and Canada. Oil products are offered through thousands of service stations, which is supported by logistics infrastructure. This infrastructure includes surface and underground storage depots and a long-distance pipeline network.

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