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Orlen (STU:PKY1) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €2.37 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Orlen Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Orlen's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.673. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €2.37 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Orlen's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Orlen was 20.90% per year. The lowest was 20.90% per year. And the median was 20.90% per year.

As of today (2024-06-10), Orlen's current stock price is €14.552. Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.37. Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 6.14.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Orlen was 15.41. The lowest was 5.42. And the median was 7.90.


Orlen Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orlen Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Orlen Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.05 1.42 1.93 1.96

Orlen Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.26 2.12 1.95 1.96 2.37

Competitive Comparison of Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Orlen Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Orlen's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.673/149.0435*149.0435
=0.673

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 149.0435.

Orlen Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 1.675 101.180 2.467
201409 0.642 100.611 0.951
201412 -0.332 100.122 -0.494
201503 0.196 100.041 0.292
201506 1.101 100.448 1.634
201509 -0.255 99.634 -0.381
201512 0.180 99.471 0.270
201603 0.752 98.983 1.132
201606 0.265 99.552 0.397
201609 0.510 99.064 0.767
201612 0.787 100.366 1.169
201703 -0.116 101.018 -0.171
201706 1.280 101.180 1.886
201709 1.144 101.343 1.682
201712 -0.150 102.564 -0.218
201803 -0.344 102.564 -0.500
201806 0.442 103.378 0.637
201809 1.340 103.378 1.932
201812 -1.154 103.785 -1.657
201903 0.192 104.274 0.274
201906 1.401 105.983 1.970
201909 1.271 105.983 1.787
201912 -0.241 107.123 -0.335
202003 -0.379 109.076 -0.518
202006 0.729 109.402 0.993
202009 0.113 109.320 0.154
202012 -0.638 109.565 -0.868
202103 0.250 112.658 0.331
202106 1.601 113.960 2.094
202109 1.218 115.588 1.571
202112 -0.993 119.088 -1.243
202203 -1.543 125.031 -1.839
202206 2.240 131.705 2.535
202209 1.539 135.531 1.692
202212 1.371 139.113 1.469
202303 2.721 145.950 2.779
202306 -0.128 147.009 -0.130
202309 -0.389 146.113 -0.397
202312 -1.091 147.741 -1.101
202403 0.673 149.044 0.673

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Orlen  (STU:PKY1) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=14.552/2.37
=6.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Orlen was 15.41. The lowest was 5.42. And the median was 7.90.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Orlen Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Orlen (STU:PKY1) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Orlen SA (STU:PKY1) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Address
Chemikow 7 Street, Plock, POL, 09-411
Orlen SA is an energy conglomerate that refines and distributes oil in Poland, the Czech Republic, Germany, and Lithuania. Through a group of refineries, it processes crude oil into gasoline, diesel oil, fuel oil, and aviation fuel. The company also produces petrochemicals and products used by chemical companies as feedstock. Additional operations include exploration and production activities in Poland, where it is domiciled, and Canada. Oil products are offered through thousands of service stations, which is supported by logistics infrastructure. This infrastructure includes surface and underground storage depots and a long-distance pipeline network.

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