GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Vir Biotechnology Inc (NAS:VIR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Vir Biotechnology (Vir Biotechnology) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2019. Start your Free Trial

What is Vir Biotechnology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Vir Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Vir Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Vir Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vir Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Vir Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vir Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Vir Biotechnology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.05

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Vir Biotechnology  (NAS:VIR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Vir Biotechnology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vir Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Vir Biotechnology (Vir Biotechnology) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
499 Illinois Street, Suite 500, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94158
Vir Biotechnology Inc is a commercial-stage immunology company focused on treating and preventing infectious diseases. Through internal development, collaborations, and acquisitions, it has four technology platforms, focused on antibodies, T cells, innate immunity, and small interfering ribonucleic acid, or siRNA. The company's pipeline consists of product candidates targeting hepatitis B, HBV, influenza A, human immunodeficiency virus, HIV, and tuberculosis, or TB. Its revenue sources are collaboration revenue, contract revenue, grant revenue, and license revenue.
Executives
Svf Endurance (cayman) Ltd 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LIMITED, 27 HOSPITAL ROAD, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
Vicki L Sato director 940 WINTER STREET, PERKINELMER, INC. LEGAL DEPARTMENT, WALTHAM MA 02451
Phillip Pang officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 499 ILLINOIS STREET, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Steven J. Rice officer: Chief Administrative Officer C/O VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 499 ILLINOIS STREET, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Saira Ramasastry director 501 CANAL BLVD., RICHMOND CA 94804
Backer Marianne De officer: Chief Executive Officer 177 E COLORADO BLVD, SUITE 700, PASADENA CA 91105
Ann M. Hanly officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 499 ILLINOIS STREET, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Sung Lee officer: Chief Financial Officer 7000 MARINA BLVD, BRISBANE CA 94005
Johanna Friedl-naderer officer: Chief Business Officer, Global C/O VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 499 ILLINOIS STREET, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
George A Scangos director, officer: President and CEO C/O EXELIXIS INC, 170 HARBOR WAY, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94083
Howard Horn officer: CFO C/O VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 499 ILLINOIS STREET, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Charles Elliott Sigal director 32 BREARLY ROAD, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Herbert Virgin officer: EVP, Research & CSO C/O VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 499 ILLINOIS STREET, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Janet Napolitano director C/O VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 499 ILLINOIS STREET, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Robert J More director 680 S CACHE STREET, SUITE 100, BOX 10820, JACKSON WY 83001

Vir Biotechnology (Vir Biotechnology) Headlines

From GuruFocus