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Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center (Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center  (OTCPK:TXCB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center (Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 61, Guoxing Avenue, Unit 609, Shengda Plaza, Meilan District, Hainan Province, Haikou, CHN, 570203
Cang Bao Tian Xia International Art Trade Center Inc is engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of gears, gearbox sand drive axles. These are marketed and sold to equipment manufacturers in China. Its products are used for making industrial, agricultural, and construction machinery, such as forklift trucks, excavators, tractors, and diesel engines.
Executives
Wei Wang 10 percent owner NO. 14, LANE 1, DONGXIAO CITY, CHONGWEN DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 0000000
Liang Tan director NO. 88 LANE 7171 SHENGIANG RD., PUDONG NEW DISTRICT, SHANGHAI F4 00000
Yaqin Fu 10 percent owner NO. 88 LANE 7171 SHENGIANG RD., PUDONG NEW DISTRICT, SHANGHAI F4 00000
Xingtao Zhou director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and CFO 5-1-1206 HEFENG JIANGAN, NIANQUING ROAD MEILAN DISTRICT, HAIKOU, HAINAN PROVINCE F4 00000
Ruihua International Ltd 10 percent owner PO BOX 83, DES PLAINES IL 60016
Jayhawk Capital Management Llc other: 13(d) group owning > 10% 13021 W 74TH ST, SHAWNEE KS 66216
Jayhawk Private Equity Gp, L.p. other: 13(d) group owning > 10% 5410 WEST 61ST PLACE, SUITE 100, MISSION KS 66205
Jayhawk Private Equity Co Invest Fund Lp other: 13(d) group owning > 10% 5410 WEST 61ST PLACE, SUITE 100, MISSION KS 66205
Jayhawk Private Equity Fund L P other: 13(d) group owning > 10% 5410 WEST 61ST PLACE, SUITE 100, MISSION KS 66205
Kent C Mccarthy 10 percent owner, other: 13(d) group owning > 10% 930 TAHOE BLVD., 802-281, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451
Pinnacle China Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 4965 PRESTON PARK BLVD., SUITE 240, PLANO TX 75093
Philip Widmann officer: Senior Vice President C/O USUNCO, 10510 HILLSBORO ROAD, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Jason Lu director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O USUNCO, 10510 HILLSBORO ROAD, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Ming He officer: Chief Financial Officer NO. 106 ZHONGHUAN SOUTH ROAD, AIRPORT INDUSTRIAL PARK, TIANJIN F4 300308
Haining Liu director C/O USUNCO, 10510 HILLSBORO ROAD, SANTA ANA CA 92705

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