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Travere Therapeutics (Travere Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.27% (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Travere Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Travere Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.27%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Travere Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Travere Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Travere Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Travere Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Travere Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Travere Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.90

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.27%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Travere Therapeutics  (NAS:TVTX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Travere Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Travere Therapeutics (Travere Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3611 Valley Centre Drive, Suite 300, San Diego, CA, USA, 92130
Travere Therapeutics Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. The company is focused on identifying, developing and delivering life-changing therapies to people living with rare kidney, liver, and metabolic diseases. Its pipeline candidate, sparsentan, is an investigational product candidate in late-stage development for focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) and IgA nephropathy (IgAN) - rare kidney disorders that often cause end-stage kidney disease.
Executives
Jula Inrig officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3611 VALLEY CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Peter Heerma officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3611 VALLEY CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
William E. Rote officer: Senior Vice President, R&D C/O RETROPHIN, INC., 3721 VALLEY CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Christopher R. Cline officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3611 VALLEY CENTRE DRIVE, STE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Eric M Dube director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 3721 VALLEY CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Elizabeth E Reed officer: SVP, GC & Corporate Secretary 9050 CAMINO SANTA FE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Sandra Calvin officer: VP, Corp Controller and CAO 3611 VALLEY CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Laura Clague officer: Chief Financial Officer 370 PARK RANCH PLACE, ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Steve Aselage director 6300 DUMBARTON CIRCLE, FREMONT CA 94555
Brinkley Ruth Williams director C/O TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3611 VALLEY CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Noah L. Rosenberg officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O ESPERION THERAPEUTICS, INC., 46701 COMMERCE CENTER DRIVE, PLYMOUTH MI 48170
Suzanne Louise Bruhn director C/O AEGLEA BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 901 S. MOPAC EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 250, AUSTIN TX 78746
Neil F. Mcfarlane officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O RETROPHIN, INC., 12255 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Sandra Poole director 830 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Ron Squarer director C/O ADC THERAPEUTICS SA, BIOPOLE, ROUTE DE LA CORNICHE 3B, EPALINGES V8 1066