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Acelyrin (Acelyrin) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Acelyrin Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Acelyrin's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Acelyrin's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Acelyrin's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Acelyrin's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Acelyrin's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Acelyrin's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Acelyrin Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.40

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Acelyrin  (NAS:SLRN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Acelyrin Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Acelyrin (Acelyrin) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Acelyrin Inc (NAS:SLRN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4149 Liberty Canyon Road, Agoura Hills, CA, USA, 91301
Acelyrin Inc is a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company. It is focused on providing patients life-changing new treatment options by identifying, acquiring, and accelerating development and commercialization of promising drug candidates.
Executives
Shao-lee Lin director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ACELYRIN, INC., 4149 LIBERTY CANYON RD., AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Gil M Labrucherie officer: Interim CFO 150 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Beth C Seidenberg director, 10 percent owner
Henry O Gosebruch director 1 N. WAUKEGAN ROAD, NORTH CHICAGO IL 60064-6092
Mardi Dier officer: CFO and CBO C/O ACELYRIN, INC., 4149 LIBERTY CANYON RD., AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Mina Kim officer: Chief Legal & Admin. Officer C/O ACELYRIN, INC., 4149 LIBERTY CANYON RD., AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Ronald Oyston officer: Chief People Officer C/O ACELYRIN, INC., 4149 LIBERTY CANYON ROAD, AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Paul Peloso officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O ACELYRIN, INC., 4149 LIBERTY CANYON ROAD, AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Dawn Svoronos director C/O MEDIVATION, INC., 525 MARKET ST., 36TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Daniel J. Becker director C/O NEW LEAF VENTURE PARTNERS, TIMES SQ TOWER, 7 TIMES SQ, STE 3502, NEW YORK NY 10036
Westlake Biopartners Fund Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 3075 TOWNSGATE ROAD, SUITE 140, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Ayurmaya Capital Management Company, Lp director, 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 1000 WINTER STREET, SUITE 4500, WALTHAM MA 02451
Sean E Harper 10 percent owner AMGEN INC., ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799
Melanie Gloria officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O ACELYRIN, INC., 4149 LIBERTY CANYON ROAD, AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Westlake Biopartners Gp Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 3075 TOWNSGATE ROAD, SUITE 140, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361

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