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Splash Beverage Group (Splash Beverage Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 5.49% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Splash Beverage Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Splash Beverage Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 5.49%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Splash Beverage Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Splash Beverage Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Splash Beverage Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Splash Beverage Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Splash Beverage Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Splash Beverage Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-2.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=5.49%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Splash Beverage Group  (AMEX:SBEV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Splash Beverage Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Splash Beverage Group (Splash Beverage Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1314 East Las Olas Boulevard, Suite 221, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33301
Splash Beverage Group Inc is a portfolio company managing multiple brands across several growth segments within the consumer beverage industry. SBG operates in both the non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverage segments. The company's operations have its own vertically integrated B-to-B and B-to-C e-commerce distribution platform called Qplash, further expanding its distribution abilities and visibility. Its brands include TapouT and Salt Tequila. The company operates in two segments: Splash Beverage Group and E-Commerce.
Executives
Frederick William Caple director 853 VANDERBILT BEACH RD., #218, NAPLES FL 34108
Robert Nistico director, officer: CEO, President and Chairman 1314 E. LAS OLAS BLVD, SUITE #221, FT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Ronald Charles Wall officer: Chief Financial Officer 1453 BISCAYA DRIVE, SURFSIDE FL 33154
William R. Meissner officer: President and CMO C/O JONES SODA CO., 234 9TH AVENUE NORTH, SEATTLE WA 98109
Fatima Dhalla officer: Interim CFO 1010 PALM AVE, #302, WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Candace Crawford director 1314 EAST LS OLAS BLVD, SUITE 221, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Peter J Mcdonough director 405 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Dean Scott Huge officer: Chief Financial Officer 2817 NE 32ND STREET, #201, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33306
Justin W Yorke director, 10 percent owner, officer: Secretary C/O JMG EXPLORATION, 180 SOUTH LAKE AVENUE, PASADENA CA 91101
Michael Thomas Long director 1603 PASEO CARMEL, SAN DIMAS CA 91773
John Matthias Lepo director 927 15TH STREET, SUITE #1, SANTA MONICA CA 90403
Heather Kearns officer: Chief Executive Officer 4704 SONADO PL, PARKER CO 80134
Michael J. West director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO 16325 EAST DORADO AVE., CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Wesbev Llc 10 percent owner 4 RICHLAND PLACE, PASADENA CA 91103
Stephen H. West director, officer: CFO and Secretary 16325 EAST DORADO AVE., CENTENNIAL CO 80111