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QuantumScape (QuantumScape) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is QuantumScape Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, QuantumScape's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of QuantumScape's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Auto Parts subindustry, QuantumScape's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


QuantumScape's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, QuantumScape's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where QuantumScape's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



QuantumScape Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


QuantumScape  (NYSE:QS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


QuantumScape Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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QuantumScape (QuantumScape) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1730 Technology Drive, San Jose, CA, USA, 95110
QuantumScape Corp is engaged in the development of next-generation solid-state lithium-metal batteries for use in electric vehicles. It developed an anode-less cell design, which delivers high energy density while lowering material costs and simplifying manufacturing.
Executives
Jurgen Leohold director 1730 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Mohit Singh officer: Chief Development Officer 1730 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Kevin Hettrich officer: Chief Financial Officer 1730 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Jeffrey B Straubel director C/O TESLA MOTORS, INC., 3500 DEER CREEK ROAD, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Mccarthy Michael O Iii officer: Chief Legal Officer 1730 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Srinivasan Sivaram officer: President C/O WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION, 5601 GREAT OAKS PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95119
Timothy Holme officer: Chief Technology Officer 1730 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Gena C Lovett director 11324 FOX CREEK FARM WAY, GREAT FALLS VA 22066
Jagdeep Singh director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer, other: Chairman C/O INFINERA CORPORATION, 169 JAVA DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Dipender Saluja director 1730 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Fritz Prinz director 1730 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Susan Huppertz director 1730 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Justin E Mirro director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Jeneanne Michelle Hanley director 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Brad W Buss director 198 CHAMPION COURT, SAN JOSE CA 95134

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