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Lindblad Expeditions Holdings (Lindblad Expeditions Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Travel Services subindustry, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lindblad Expeditions Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lindblad Expeditions Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.39

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Lindblad Expeditions Holdings  (NAS:LIND) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Lindblad Expeditions Holdings (Lindblad Expeditions Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
96 Morton Street, 9th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10014
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc provides expedition cruising and adventure travel services. The company operates in two segments: Lindblad and Land Experiences, of which Lindblad generates the vast majority of its revenue. It offers itineraries that feature up-close encounters with wildlife, nature, history, and culture, as well as promote guest empowerment and interactivity. The company operates expeditions on intimately-scaled ships and interaction between guests, crew, and the teams of scientists, naturalists, researchers, and photographers that participate in the expeditions. Lindblad operates a fleet of nine owned expedition ships and five seasonal charter vessels under the Lindblad brand.
Executives
Alex P Schultz director C/O LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDING, INC., 96 MORTON STREET, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Smith, Jr. Thomas S. director 2 PENN PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
Fahey John M Jr director C/O NATINAL GEOGRAPHIC, 1146 17TH STREET NW, WASHINTON DC 20036
Catherine B Reynolds director PO BOX 9870, MCLEAN VA 22102
L. Dyson Dryden director 305 WEST PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, TOWSON MD 21204
Michael Elliott Bisnow director C/O LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDING, INC., 96 MORTON STREET, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Sven-olof Lindblad director, 10 percent owner 96 MORTON STREET, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Bernard W Aronson director
Mark Ein director
Noah Brodsky officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O WYNDHAM WORLDWIDE CORPORATION, 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Dolf A Berle director, officer: CEO 2481 MANANA DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75220
Benjamin Bressler officer: President of Natural Habitat 833 WEST SOUTH BOULDER ROAD, BLDG G, LOUISVILLE CO 80027-2452
Trey Byus officer: Chief Expedition Officer 96 MORTON STREET, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Craig Felenstein officer: Chief Financial Officer 96 MORTON STREET, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
David Goodman officer: Chief Commercial and Marketing 1334 YORK AVENUE, NEW YORK X1 10021