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Kenvue (Kenvue) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 31, 2024)


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What is Kenvue Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kenvue's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kenvue's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Kenvue's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kenvue's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kenvue's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kenvue's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kenvue Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.90

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kenvue  (NYSE:KVUE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kenvue Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kenvue (Kenvue) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
199 Grandview Road, Skillman, NJ, USA, 08558
Kenvue is the world's largest pure-play consumer health company by sales, generating $15 billion in annual revenue. Formerly known as Johnson & Johnson's consumer segment, Kenvue spun off and went public in May 2023. It operates in a variety of silos within consumer health, such as cough, cold and allergy care, pain management, face and body care, and oral care, as well as women's health. Its portfolio includes a wide array of some of the most well-known brands in the space, including Tylenol, Listerine, Johnson's, Aveeno, and Neutrogena. Despite playing in a fragmented industry with intense competition and ever-changing consumer preferences, many of Kenvue's brands are the global leader in their respective segment thanks to their strong brand power.
Executives
Allison Richard E Jr director 30 FRANK LLOYD WRIGHT DR, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Seemantini Godbole director 1000 LOWE'S BOULEVARD, MOORESVILLE NC 28117
Bing Xie officer: Group President, Asia Pacific 199 GRANDVIEW ROAD, SKILLMAN NJ 08558
Donna Lorenson officer: Chief Corp Affairs Officer 199 GRANDVIEW ROAD, SKILLMAN NJ 08558
Matthew Orlando officer: General Counsel 199 GRANDVIEW ROAD, SKILLMAN NJ 08558
Luani Alvarado officer: Chief People Officer 199 GRANDVIEW ROAD, SKILLMAN NJ 08558
Jan Meurer officer: Chief Growth Officer 199 GRANDVIEW ROAD, SKILLMAN NJ 08558
Carlton Lawson officer: Group President, EMEA 199 GRANDVIEW ROAD, SKILLMAN NJ 08558
Caroline Tillett officer: Chief Scientific Officer 199 GRANDVIEW ROAD, SKILLMAN NJ 08558
Bernardo Tavares officer: Chief Tech & Data Officer 199 GRANDVIEW ROAD, SKILLMAN NJ 08558
Tamara Franklin director 107 STONE CLIFF ROAD, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Betsy D Holden director DENTSPLY SIRONA INC, 13320 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Kathy Widmer officer: Group President, NALA C/O ELIZABETH ARDEN, INC., 2400 S.W. 145 AVENUE, MIRAMAR FL 33027
Michael E Sneed director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Joseph J Wolk director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933

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