Kentucky First Federal Bancorp (Kentucky First Federal Bancorp) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.19% (As of Jun. 11, 2024)

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What is Kentucky First Federal Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kentucky First Federal Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.19%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Kentucky First Federal Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Kentucky First Federal Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Kentucky First Federal Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Kentucky First Federal Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kentucky First Federal Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Kentucky First Federal Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-6.26

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.19%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Kentucky First Federal Bancorp (NAS:KFFB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Kentucky First Federal Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kentucky First Federal Bancorp (Kentucky First Federal Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Kentucky First Federal Bancorp (NAS:KFFB) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

216 West Main Street, P.O. Box 535, Frankfort, KY, USA, 40602

Website

https://www.ffsbky.bank

Kentucky First Federal Bancorp is a holding company. The company through its subsidiaries is engaged mainly in the business of accepting deposits from the general public and using such funds to originate loans secured by first mortgages on owner-occupied, residential real estate and other loans secured by real estate. Its primary products and services include Residential mortgage loans, Multi-family loans, Construction loans and types of deposits, etc. The company mainly operates in Perry, Franklin, Boyle and Garrard and surrounding counties in Kentucky, US.

Executives

Ecton Walter G Jr	director	479 MAIN STREET, HAZARD KY 41702
Teresa K Hulette	officer: EVP-First Federal of Frankfort	P.O. BOX 535, FRANKFORT KY 40602
R Clay Hulette	officer: V.P., CFO & Treasurer	216 WEST MAIN STREET, P.O. BOX 535, FRANKFORT KY 40602
C Michael Davenport	director	216 WEST MAIN STREET, P.O. BOX 535, FRANKFORT KY 40602
Don D Jennings	director, officer: President & COO	C/O FIRST FEDERAL, P O BOX 535, FRANKFORT KY 40602
Tony D Whitaker	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO & Chairman of the Board	479 MAIN STREET, HAZARD KY 41702
Jaime Steele Coffey	officer: President & CEO--First Federal, other: President of First Federal MHC	C/O KENTUCKY FIRST FEDERAL BANCORP, 655 MAIN STREET, HAZARD KY 41702
Lou Ella Farler	officer: Pres. & CEO-FFS&L of Hazard	P.O. BOX 535, FRANKFORT KY 40602
William H Johnson	director, officer: Area Pres.-FFSB of Kentucky	340 WEST MAIN STREET, DANVILLE KY 40422
Hudson W Banks Iii	director	340 WEST MAIN STREET, DANVILLE KY 40422
Gorman William D Jr	director	479 MAIN STREET, HAZARD KY 41702
Federal Mhc First	10 percent owner	479 MAIN STREET, HAZARD KY 41702
William D Gorman	director	479 MAIN STREET, HAZARD KY 41702
Pulliam Roy L Jr	officer: Vice President & Secretary	479 MAIN STREET, HAZARD KY 41702
Regan Herman D Jr	director	216 WEST MAIN STREET, P.O. BOX 535, FRANKFORT KY 40602