GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » InnovAge Holding Corp (NAS:INNV) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

InnovAge Holding (InnovAge Holding) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of May. 24, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is InnovAge Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, InnovAge Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of InnovAge Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, InnovAge Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


InnovAge Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, InnovAge Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where InnovAge Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



InnovAge Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.13

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


InnovAge Holding  (NAS:INNV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


InnovAge Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of InnovAge Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


InnovAge Holding (InnovAge Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8950 East Lowry Boulevard, Denver, CO, USA, 80230
InnovAge Holding Corp is a healthcare delivery platform by several participants focused on providing all-inclusive, capitated care to high-cost, dual-eligible seniors. Its patient-centered care delivery approach improves the quality of care while keeping them in their homes and reducing over-utilization of high-cost care settings such as hospitals and nursing homes. The company's segment includes PACE and others. It generates maximum revenue from the PACE segment.
Executives
Teresa Sparks director 40 BURTON HILLS BOULEVARD SUITE 500, NASHVILLE TN 37215
Nicole Damato officer: CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER 8950 E. LOWRY BOULEVARD, DENVER CO 80230
Benjamin C Adams officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 8950 E. LOWRY BOULEVARD, DENVER CO 80230
Patricia Fontneau director 8950 E. LOWRY BOULEVARD, DENVER CO 80230
Christine Bent officer: CHIEF OPERATIONS OFFICER 8950 E. LOWRY BOULEVARD, DENVER CO 80230
Thomas Scully director 320 PARK AVENUE, SUITE # 2500, NEW YORK NM 10022
Richard Feifer officer: CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER C/O GENESIS HEALTHCARE, INC., 101 EAST STATE STREET, KENNETT SQUARE PA 19348
James G Carlson director 8950 E. LOWRY BOULEVARD, DENVER CO 80230
Patrick T Blair officer: PRESIDENT 8950 E. LOWRY BOULEVARD, DENVER CO 80230
Caroline Dechert director 580 CALIFORNIA ST., SUITE 1700, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Pavithra Mahesh director 601 LEXINGTON AVE., 53RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Maureen Hewitt director, officer: CEO, President and Director 8950 E. LOWRY BLVD., DENVER CO 80230
Maria Lozzano officer: CORPORATE COO 8950 E. LOWRY BLVD., DENVER CO 80230
Robin Doerr officer: CHIEF SALES AND MKTG. OFFICER 8950 E. LOWRY BLVD., DENVER CO 80230
Melissa Welch officer: CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER 8950 E. LOWRY BLVD., DENVER CO 80230