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Homeland Interactive Technology (HKSE:03798) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Homeland Interactive Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Homeland Interactive Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Homeland Interactive Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Homeland Interactive Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Homeland Interactive Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Homeland Interactive Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Homeland Interactive Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Homeland Interactive Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-12.06

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Homeland Interactive Technology  (HKSE:03798) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Homeland Interactive Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Homeland Interactive Technology (HKSE:03798) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
77 Tainan Road, 7A, 22nd Floor, Huijin Building, Siming District, Xiamen, CHN
Homeland Interactive Technology Ltd is a developer and operator of g localized card and board game developer and operator in the PRC with a special focus on localized Mahjong and poker games. It derives revenue from game development and operation income from sales of virtual tokens and private game room cards. Its operating activities are attributable to a single operating segment focusing on the development and operation of mobile games in the Peoples' Republic of China.
Executives
Zhang Na 2101 Beneficial owner
Su Bo 2202 Interest of your spouse
Futu Trustee Limited 2301 Trustee
Ding Chunlong 2101 Beneficial owner
Jiang Mingkuan
One One Eleven Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Futu Trustee (singapore) Pte Ltd 2301 Trustee
Men Geng 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Men Geng Network Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Su Bo Network Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Su Bo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiang Ming Kuan Network Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Wu Chengze 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wu Chengze Network Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Li Bo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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