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Beijing Airdoc Technology Co (HKSE:02251) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Beijing Airdoc Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Beijing Airdoc Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Beijing Airdoc Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Beijing Airdoc Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beijing Airdoc Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Beijing Airdoc Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beijing Airdoc Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Beijing Airdoc Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Beijing Airdoc Technology Co  (HKSE:02251) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Beijing Airdoc Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Beijing Airdoc Technology Co (HKSE:02251) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
West Third Ring North Road, Room 21, 4th Floor, Building 2, A2 Yard, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN
Beijing Airdoc Technology Co Ltd provides AI-empowered retina-based early detection, diagnosis and health risk assessment solutions in China. Leveraging retinal imaging, multimodal data analyses and AI deep learning algorithms, the company's solution differs from traditional chronic disease early detection and diagnosis, enabling non-invasive, accurate, fast, effective and scalable detection and diagnosis of chronic diseases in both medical institutions and consumer healthcare providers. The Company derives revenue principally from the provision of AI-based software solutions, sales of hardware devices and other services.
Executives
Mialkos Tomasz Jakub 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhang Dalei 2501 Other
Fosun Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Yadong Beichen Venture Investment Co., Ltd. 2101 Beneficial owner
Shanghai Ruikun Venture Capital Investment Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shanghai Fosun Industrial Investment Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shanghai Fosun High Technology (group) Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guo Guangchang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fosun International Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fosun International Holdings Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chen Mingqiang 2501 Other
Gao Fei 2501 Other
Niagara Falls Holding Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
China Life Franklin Asset Management Co., Limited
China Life Insurance (group) Company

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