IVD Medical Holding (HKSE:01931) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 31, 2024)

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What is IVD Medical Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, IVD Medical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of IVD Medical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Distribution subindustry, IVD Medical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

IVD Medical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Distribution Industry

For the Medical Distribution industry and Healthcare sector, IVD Medical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where IVD Medical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

IVD Medical Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.80

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

IVD Medical Holding (HKSE:01931) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

IVD Medical Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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IVD Medical Holding (HKSE:01931) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Distribution » IVD Medical Holding Ltd (HKSE:01931) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Lane 299, Bisheng Road, Room 602, Building 6, Zhangjiang Hi-Tech Park, Pudong New Area District, Shanghai, CHN

Website

http://www.ivdholding.com

IVD Medical Holding Ltd is principally engaged in the sale and manufacture of medical equipment and consumables and the provision of consultancy and maintenance services related to medical equipment. It has three segments. The distribution business, which is the key revenue driver, involves the trading of IVD analysers, reagents, and other consumables to customers such as distributors, hospitals and healthcare institutions, and logistics providers. The After-sales Services provided by Vastec include maintenance and repair services, installation services and end-customer training. Its Self-branded Products Business, distributes its self-developed IVD products under its own brand which includes IVD analysers and reagents under the IVD testing category of Point-of-care testing.

Executives

Leung King Sun
Wu Meizhen	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China International Trust Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wu Yanfeng	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wu Mingcong	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wu Junfeng	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Li	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nd Medical Technology Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ma Zhouwei	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hong Kong Medicine Group Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hknd Gene Biotechnology Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fast Benefit Pharmaceutical Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China Smart Pharmaceutical Technology Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
3w.com Holding Limited	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Morgan Stanley	2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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