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FRP Holdings (FRP Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is FRP Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, FRP Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of FRP Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, FRP Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FRP Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, FRP Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FRP Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



FRP Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.54

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


FRP Holdings  (NAS:FRPH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


FRP Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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FRP Holdings (FRP Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » FRP Holdings Inc (NAS:FRPH) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 West Forsyth Street, 7th Floor, Jacksonville, FL, USA, 32202
FRP Holdings Inc is a holding company engaged in various real estate businesses. The company's business segments are Leasing and management of commercial properties owned by the company (the Asset Management Segment); Leasing and management of mining royalty land owned by the company (the Mining Royalty Lands Segment); real property acquisition, entitlement, development and construction for apartment, retail, warehouse, and office buildings either alone or through joint ventures (the Development Segment); ownership, leasing and management of buildings through joint ventures (the Stabilized Joint Venture Segment).
Executives
Devilliers David H Iii officer: Executive Vice President 200 WEST FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Milton John D Jr officer: Executive VP and CFO 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Devilliers David H Jr officer: President of Real Estate Group 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Baker John D Ii director, 10 percent owner 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Nicole B. Thomas director 200 W. FORSYTH ST, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
John S Surface director 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Baker John D. Iii officer: Chief Financial Officer FRP HOLDINGS, INC., 200 WEST FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
John D Klopfenstein officer: Controller and CAO 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Margaret B. Wetherbee director FRP HOLDINGS, INC., 200 WEST FORSYTH STREET, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Commander Charles E Iii director 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
James H Winston director C/O STEIN MORT INC, 1200 RIVERPLACE BLVD, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Walton William H Iii director ONE INDEPENDENT DRIVE, SUITE 1600, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Baker Thompson S Ii director, 10 percent owner 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Robert E Sandlin officer: President & CEO of FRTL 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Fichthorn Luke E Iii director 200 W. FORSYTH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202

FRP Holdings (FRP Holdings) Headlines

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