Fiesta Restaurant Group (Fiesta Restaurant Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Jun. 05, 2024)

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What is Fiesta Restaurant Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fiesta Restaurant Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Fiesta Restaurant Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Fiesta Restaurant Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Fiesta Restaurant Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fiesta Restaurant Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fiesta Restaurant Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Fiesta Restaurant Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.31

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Fiesta Restaurant Group (NAS:FRGI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Fiesta Restaurant Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Fiesta Restaurant Group (Fiesta Restaurant Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Restaurants » Fiesta Restaurant Group Inc (NAS:FRGI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

14800 Landmark Boulevard, Suite 500, Dallas, TX, USA, 75254

Website

https://www.frgi.com

Fiesta Restaurant Group Inc owns two fast-casual restaurant brands: Pollo Tropical, which offers Caribbean-inspired food; and Taco Cabana, which offers Mexican food. Collectively, the company owns and operates more than 300 restaurants in the southern United States. Roughly three-quarters of all Pollo Tropical restaurants are located in Florida. Taco Cabana restaurants are located almost exclusively in Texas. The company also franchises restaurants in Central and South America, which account for a very small portion of total company revenue.

Executives

Nirmal K Tripathy	director	THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Tyler Yoesting	officer: Vice President and Acting CFO	C/O FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 14800 LANDMARK BLVD., SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75254
Ulyses Camacho	officer: See Remarks	C/O FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 14800 LANDMARK BLVD., SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75254
Eladio Romeo	officer: See Remarks	C/O FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 14800 LANDMARK BLVD., SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75254
Patricia Lopez-calleja	officer: SVP, Guest Engagement	C/O FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 14800 LANDMARK BLVD., SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75254
Andrew Rechtschaffen	director	C/O OBREM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 733 THIRD AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Cheri Kinder	officer: VP, Corporate Controller	14800 LANDMARK BOULEVARD, SUITE 500, ADDISON TX 75254
Louis Dipietro	officer: SVP, GC and Secretary	35 PARK STREET, NORFOLK MA 02056
Anthony Dinkins	officer: SVP of Human Resources	14800 LANDMARK BLVD., SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75254
Hope Diaz	officer: See Remarks	C/O FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 14800 LANDMARK BLVD., SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75254
Dirk A Montgomery	officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer	C/O HEALTH INSURANCE INNOVATIONS, INC., 15438 N. FLORIDA AVE., SUITE 201, TAMPA FL 33613
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.	10 percent owner	520 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Richard C. Stockinger	officer: CEO and President	C/O BENIHANA INC., 8685 N.W. 53RD TERRACE, MIAMI FL 33166
Sherrill Kaplan	director	C/O FIESTA RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 14800 LANDMARK BOULEVARD, SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75254
Joseph Brink	officer: VP, Chief Procurement Officer	14800 LANDMARK BLVD., SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75254