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Whole Earth Brands (Whole Earth Brands) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 31, 2024)


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What is Whole Earth Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Whole Earth Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Whole Earth Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Whole Earth Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Whole Earth Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Whole Earth Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Whole Earth Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Whole Earth Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.65

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Whole Earth Brands  (NAS:FREE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Whole Earth Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Whole Earth Brands (Whole Earth Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
125 South Wacker Drive, Suite 3150, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
Whole Earth Brands Inc is a food company enabling healthier lifestyles and providing access to high-quality, plant-based sweeteners, flavor enhancers and other foods through diverse portfolio of trusted brands and delicious products. The company operates in two segments namely, Branded CPG and Flavors & Ingredients. Its portfolio consists of three main product groups: sweeteners, adjacencies and ingredients.
Executives
Rajnish Ohri officer: Interim Co-CEO 125 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1250, CHICAGO IL 60606
Sababa Holdings Free Llc 10 percent owner C/O MARIPOSA CAPITAL, 500 SOUTH POINTE DRIVE STE 240, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Michael F Goss director BAIN CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC, JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Bernardo Fiaux officer: Chief Financial Officer 125 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1250, CHICAGO IL 60606
Michael E. Franklin director 125 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1250, CHICAGO IL 60606
Trisha L Fox officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 125 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 3150, CHICAGO IL 60606
Martin E Franklin 10 percent owner C/O MARIPOSA CAPITAL, LLC, 5200 BLUE LAGOON DRIVE, SUITE 855, MIAMI FL 33126
Duane A Portwood officer: Chief Financial Officer 836 BARN OWL ROAD, MARIETTA GA 30068
Jeffrey S. Robinson officer: President, Mafco Worldwide LLC 125 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 3150, CHICAGO IL 60606
Brian Litman officer: Chief Accounting Officer 125 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 3150, CHICAGO IL 60606
John M. Mcmillin director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS 11TH FLOOR, NEW NY 10105
Irwin D Simon director C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Ira J Lamel director C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Anuraag Agarwal director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS 11TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10105
Denise M Faltischek director C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042