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Cyberlux (Cyberlux) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is Cyberlux Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cyberlux's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cyberlux's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Cyberlux's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cyberlux's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Cyberlux's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cyberlux's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cyberlux Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cyberlux  (OTCPK:CYBL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cyberlux Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cyberlux (Cyberlux) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Cyberlux Corp (OTCPK:CYBL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
800 Park Offices Drive, Suite 3209, Research Triangle, Durham, NC, USA, 27709
Cyberlux Corp is a lighting technology company. It is engaged in four different business units: Unmanned aircraft Solutions, Digital platform solutions, Infrastructure technology, and lighting solutions. It designs, develops, and sells lighting systems that utilize white, infrared (IR), and other light-emitting diodes (LEDs) as illumination elements. It serves the Department of Defense (DoD), Commercial channels, and Design Services, customers.
Executives
Utek Corp 10 percent owner 2109 PALM AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33605
Moore William P Iii As Trustee 10 percent owner 10801 MASTIN SUITE 920 OVERLAND PARK KS 66210
David D Downing 10 percent owner, officer: CFO and Treasurer 4625 CREEKSTONE DRIVE SUITE 100 RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK DURHAM NC 27703
William P Walker officer: Senior Vice President 4625 CREEKSTONE DRIVE SUITE 100 RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK DURHAM NC 27703
Alan H Ninneman director, 10 percent owner, officer: Senior Vice President 4625 CREEKSTONE DRIVE SUITE 100 RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK DURHAM NC 27703
Donald F Evans director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 4625 CREEKSTONE DRIVE SUITE 100 RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK DURHAM NC 27703
John W Ringo director, 10 percent owner, officer: Secretary & Corporate Counsel 4625 CREEKSTONE DRIVE SUITE 100 RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK DURHAM NC 27703
Mark D Schmidt director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and COO 4625 CREEKSTONE DRIVE SUITE 100 RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK DURHAM NC 27703

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