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Carter Bankshares (Carter Bankshares) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.11% (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Carter Bankshares Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Carter Bankshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Carter Bankshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Carter Bankshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carter Bankshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Carter Bankshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carter Bankshares's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Carter Bankshares Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.86

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Carter Bankshares  (NAS:CARE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Carter Bankshares Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Carter Bankshares (Carter Bankshares) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1300 Kings Mountain Road, Martinsville, VA, USA, 24112
Carter Bankshares Inc is a bank holding company that conducts its business solely through the bank. The Bank earns revenue from interest on loans and securities and fees charged for financial services provided to customers. The Bank offers a full range of deposit services including Lifetime Free Checking, interest checking accounts, savings accounts, retirement accounts and other deposit accounts of various types, ranging from money market accounts to longer-term CDs. The Bank offers a full range of commercial and consumer loans. The Bank also originates and holds fixed and variable-rate mortgage loans and offers home equity lines of credit to its customers.
Executives
Curtis E Stephens director 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Michael R Bird director 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Arthur Loran Adams officer: EVP, DIRECTOR OF REG RISK MNGT 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Edward Warren Matthews director CARTER BANK & TRUST, 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Robert M. Bolton director 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
James W. Haskins director CARTER BANK & TRUST, 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Van Dyke Litz H director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER CARTER BANK & TRUST, 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Catharine L. Midkiff director CARTER BANK & TRUST, 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Jane Ann Davis officer: EVP, CHIEF ADMIN. OFFICER BANK BUILDING CORPORATION, 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Gregory W Feldmann director 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Phyllis Q. Karavatakis director, officer: SR EXEC VP OF SPECIAL PROJECTS CARTER BANK & TRUST, 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Lutz Jacob A Iii director 3941 REEDS LANDING CIRCLE, MIDLOTHIAN VA 23113
Robert W Conner director CARTER BANK & TRUST, 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112
Tony E Kallsen officer: EVP, CHIEF CREDIT OFFICER 43 SOUTH 9TH STREET, INDIANA PA 15701
Kevin S. Bloomfield director 1300 KINGS MOUNTAIN ROAD, MARTINSVILLE VA 24112