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Capricor Therapeutics (Capricor Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is Capricor Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Capricor Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Capricor Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Capricor Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Capricor Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Capricor Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Capricor Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Capricor Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Capricor Therapeutics  (NAS:CAPR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Capricor Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Capricor Therapeutics (Capricor Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10865 Road to the Cure, Suite 150, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
Capricor Therapeutics Inc is a United States-based biotechnology company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of first-in-class biological therapies for the treatment of diseases, with a focus on Duchenne muscular dystrophy and other medical conditions. The company's development stage product pipeline includes CAP-1002, for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy Program and COVID-19 Program; CDC-Exosomes (CAP-2003); and Exosome-mRNA vaccine.
Executives
David B Musket director C/O CONOR MEDSYSTEMS, INC., 1003 HAMILTON COURT, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Collier Earl M Jr director C/O TESARO, INC., 1000 WINTER STREET, SUITE 3300, WALTHAM MA 02451
Paul Gisbert Auwaerter director C/O CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS, INC., 10865 ROAD TO THE CURE, SUITE 150, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Mike Kelliher director C/O CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS, INC., 10865 ROAD TO THE CURE, SUITE 150, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Philip J Gotwals director C/O CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS, INC., 10865 ROAD TO THE CURE, SUITE 150, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Xavier Avat officer: CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER 10865 ROAD TO THE CURE, SUITE 150, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Karimah Es Sabar director C/O 8840 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 2ND FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90211
Linda Marban director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER C/O CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS, INC., 8840 WILSHIRE BLVD., 2ND FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90211
Dunbar George W Jr director C/O COMPETITIVE TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 777 COMMERCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, FAIRFIELD CT 06825
Karen Krasney officer: EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL C/O CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS, INC., 8840 WILSHIRE BLVD., 2ND FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90211
Anthony Bergmann officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS, INC., 8840 WILSHIRE BLVD., 2ND FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90211
Louis Manzo director C/O CAPRICOR THERAPEUTICS, INC., 8840 WILSHIRE BLVD., 2ND FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90211
Cedars Sinai Medical Center 10 percent owner 8700 BEVERLY BLVD, LOS ANGELES CA 90048-1865
St. John Edward A. 10 percent owner 2560 LORD BALTIMORE DRIVE, BALTIMORE MD 21244
Leland Gershell officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TONIX PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDING CORP, 509 MADISON AVE., STE 306, NEW YORK NY 10022

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