GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » The Beachbody Co Inc (NYSE:BODI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

The Beachbody Co (The Beachbody Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 5.58% (As of May. 03, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is The Beachbody Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Beachbody Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 5.58%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of The Beachbody Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, The Beachbody Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Beachbody Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, The Beachbody Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Beachbody Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



The Beachbody Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-2.83

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=5.58%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


The Beachbody Co  (NYSE:BODI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


The Beachbody Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Beachbody Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Beachbody Co (The Beachbody Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
400 Continental Boulevard, Suite 400, El Segundo, CA, USA, 90245
The Beachbody Co Inc is a health and wellness platform providing fitness, nutrition and stress-reducing programs to customers. The product offerings of the company include Digital Subscriptions, Nutritional Products, and Connected Fitness Products. It earns the majority of its revenue from the United States. The company operates and manages its business in two operating segments, Beachbody and Other.
Executives
Jonathan Congdon officer: SEE REMARKS C/O FOREST ROAD ACQUISITION CORP., 1177 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Mark R Goldston director, officer: Executive Chairman C/O UNITED ONLINE, 2555 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Ann Marie Lundy director C/O THE BEACHBODY COMPANY, INC., 400 CONTINENTAL BLVD., SUITE 400, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Carl Daikeler director, 10 percent owner, officer: SEE REMARKS C/O FOREST ROAD ACQUISITION CORP., 1177 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Kathy P Vrabeck officer: CHIEF STRATEGY OFFICER 625 WESTPORT PARKWAY, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
Marc Suidan officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O THE BEACHBODY COMPANY, INC., 400 CONTINENTAL BLVD., SUITE 400, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Michael Heller director CIRA CENTRE, 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 675, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104-2867
Kristin E. Frank director C/O GAIAM, INC., 833 WEST SOUTH BOULDER ROAD, LOUISVILLE CO 80027
Blake Timothy Bilstad officer: SEE REMARKS C/O THE BEACHBODY COMPANY, INC., 3301 EXPOSITION BLVD., SANTA MONICA CA 90404
John S. Salter director ONE LOMBARD STREET, SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Susan Collyns officer: PRESIDENT & CFO 6053 W CENTURY BLVD STE 1100, C/O CALIFORNIA PIZZA KITCHEN INC, LOS ANGLES CA 90045-6430
Rpiii Corp Spv Management Llc 10 percent owner 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Raine Management Llc 10 percent owner 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Rpiii Corp Aggregator Lp 10 percent owner ATTN: LEGAL DEPT., 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Rpiii Rainsanity Lp 10 percent owner ATTN: LEGAL DEPT., 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022