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Bion Environmental Technologies (Bion Environmental Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 1.05% (As of May. 31, 2024)


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What is Bion Environmental Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Bion Environmental Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 1.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Bion Environmental Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Pollution & Treatment Controls subindustry, Bion Environmental Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bion Environmental Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Bion Environmental Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bion Environmental Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Bion Environmental Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.54

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=1.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Bion Environmental Technologies  (OTCPK:BNET) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Bion Environmental Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Bion Environmental Technologies (Bion Environmental Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9 East Park Couret, Old Bethpage, New York, NY, USA, 11804
Bion Environmental Technologies Inc provides sustainable environmental and economic solutions to the food and livestock industry. Its proven technology offers a comprehensive treatment of livestock waste that largely eliminates its environmental impacts, while simultaneously recovering valuable assets from the waste stream, including renewable energy, nutrients, and clean water that have traditionally been wasted or underutilized. Revenues are generated from the sale of nutrient reduction credits. Geographically, the operations are conducted through the region of the United States.
Executives
Anthony Orphanos 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSMITH ADVISORS, LLC, 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Salvatore J Zizza director 810 SEVENTH AVE, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
William F. Rupp director C/O BION ENVIRONMENTAL TECHNOLOGIES, INC, PO BOX 323, OLD BETHPAGE NY 11804
William O'neill officer: CEO C/O BION ENVIRONMENTAL TECHNOLOGIES INC., PO BOX 323, OLD BETHPAGE NY 11804
Danielle C. Lominy 10 percent owner 6400 VILLAGE HILL DRIVE, DIX HILLS NY 11746
Christopher B. Parlow 10 percent owner 23 LONGBOW DRIVE, COMMACK NY 11725
Jon Northrop director, officer: Secretary
Mark A Smith director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 641 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Dominic Bassani 10 percent owner, officer: CEO C/O BRIGHT CAPITAL, LTD., 64 VILLAGE HILLS DRIVE, DIX HILLS NY 11746
Edward T Schafer director, officer: Executive Vice Chairman 1400 31ST AVENUE SW, SUITE 60, MINOT ND 58701
Bright Capital Ltd. 10 percent owner 64 VILLAGE HILLS DRIVE, DIX HILLS NY 11746
Jere Northrop director, officer: Senior Technology Officer 1961 TONAWANDA CREEK RD, AMHERST NY 14228
Jeremy Rowland officer: COO of Bion Dairy 641 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
George Bloom officer: COO of Bion Technologies 641 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Chris-dan, Llc 10 percent owner 64 VILLAGE HILLS DRIVE, DIX HILLS NY 11746