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ATAI Life Sciences NV (ATAI Life Sciences NV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.11% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is ATAI Life Sciences NV Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ATAI Life Sciences NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of ATAI Life Sciences NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, ATAI Life Sciences NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ATAI Life Sciences NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, ATAI Life Sciences NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ATAI Life Sciences NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



ATAI Life Sciences NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.80

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


ATAI Life Sciences NV  (NAS:ATAI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


ATAI Life Sciences NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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ATAI Life Sciences NV (ATAI Life Sciences NV) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Wallstraße 16, Berlin, BB, DEU, 10179
ATAI Life Sciences NV is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company aiming to transform the treatment of mental health disorders. Its product candidates include COMP360/Psilocybin therapy, PCN-101/R-ketamine, RL-007/Compound, DMX-1002/Ibogaine, GRX-917/Deuterated etifoxine, VLS-01/DMT, EMP-01/MDMA derivative, RLS-01/Salvinorin A, KUR-101/Deuterated Mitragynine, and DMX-1001/Noribogaine. The business operates geographically in two regions being the United States and Germany.
Executives
Florian Brand officer: See Remarks C/O ATAI LIFE SCIENCES N.V., 180 VARICK STREET, NEW YORK NY 10014
Anne Nagengast Johnson officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ATAI LIFE SCIENCES N.V., WALLSTRASSE 16, BERLIN 2M 10179
Apeiron Investment Group Ltd. 10 percent owner BLOCK A, APT.12, IL-PIAZZETTA, TOWER ROAD, SLIEMA O1 SLM1605
Sahil Kirpekar officer: Chief Business Officer C/O ATAI LIFE SCIENCES N.V., WALLSTRASSE 16, BERLIN 2M 10179
Stephen Bardin officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ATAI LIFE SCIENCES N.V., KRAUSENSTRASSE 9-10, BERLIN 2M 10117
Gregory L Weaver officer: Chief Financial Officer 185 BERRY STREET, SUITE 6504, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Andrea Heslin Smiley director 600 LEE ROAD, SUITE 100, WAYNE PA 19087
Michael Auerbach director 158 HESTER STREET, APT 7F, NEW YORK NY 10013
Amir H Kalali director 4350 EXECUTIVE DRIVE SUITE 325, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Christian Angermayer director, 10 percent owner BLOCK A, APT.12, IL-PIAZZETTA, TOWER ROAD, SLIEMA O1 SLM1605
Rosnay Alexis De director C/O ATAI LIFE SCIENCES N.V., 180 VARICK STREET, NEW YORK NY 10014
Srinivas Rao officer: See Remarks C/O ATAI LIFE SCIENCES N.V., 180 VARICK STREET, NEW YORK NY 10014
Sabrina Martucci Johnson director 11119 NORTH TORREY PINES ROAD, SUITE 200, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Jason Camm director C/O ATAI LIFE SCIENCES N.V., 180 VARICK STREET, NEW YORK NY 10014
Presight Ii, Lp 10 percent owner C/O ATAI LIFE SCIENCES N.V., 180 VARICK STREET, NEW YORK NY 10014