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The Arena Group Holdings (The Arena Group Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 47.76% (As of Jun. 02, 2024)


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What is The Arena Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Arena Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 47.76%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of The Arena Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, The Arena Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Arena Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, The Arena Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Arena Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



The Arena Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-0.09

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=47.76%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


The Arena Group Holdings  (AMEX:AREN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


The Arena Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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The Arena Group Holdings (The Arena Group Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 Vesey Street, 24th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10281
The Arena Group Holdings Inc is a tech-powered media company that fuses superior technology, iconic brands, and marketing savvy to deliver vibrant content and experiences that reach more than 120 million users each month. The company creates robust digital destinations that delight consumers with powerful journalism, news about the things such as favorite sports teams, advice on investing, the inside scoop on personal finance, and the latest on lifestyle essentials. The Company operates in one reportable segment which focuses on a publishing platform.
Executives
Todd D. Sims director C/O B. RILEY FINANCIAL, INC., 21255 BURBANK BLVD., SUITE 400, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
B. Riley Financial, Inc. other: See Remarks. 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Paul Taylor Edmondson officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O THEMAVEN, 1500 FOURTH AVENUE, SEATTLE WA 98101
Herbert Hunt Allred director 200 VESEY ST., 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Daniel Shribman director 299 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10171
Ross Levinsohn director 701 FIRST AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
B. Riley Securities, Inc. 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Christopher Petzel director 200 VESEY ST., 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Laura Anne Lee director 267 1ST STREET, APT 1, BROOKLYN NY 11215
Spiridon Christoforatos officer: Chief Accounting Officer 200 VESEY ST., 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Brf Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Carlo Zola director 225 LIBERTY STREET, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Eric Semler director 4625 FIELDSTON ROAD, BRONX NY 10471
Brc Partners Opportunity Fund, Lp other: See Remarks. 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD. SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Henry Robertson Barrett officer: President, Media 225 LIBERTY STREET, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281