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Amplitude (Amplitude) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Amplitude Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Amplitude's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Amplitude's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Amplitude's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amplitude's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Amplitude's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amplitude's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Amplitude Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.03

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Amplitude  (NAS:AMPL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Amplitude Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Amplitude (Amplitude) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Amplitude Inc (NAS:AMPL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
201 Third Street, Suite 200, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94103
Amplitude Inc is a Software company that provides a Digital Analytics Platform that helps companies analyze their customer behavior within digital products. The Company delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service (SaaS) model and also it offers customer support related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support services, and application training. The company derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Battery Partners Select Fund I, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210
Neeraj Agrawal director, 10 percent owner ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210
Catherine Wong director C/O DOMO, INC., 772 EAST UTAH VALLEY DRIVE, AMERICAN FORK UT 84003
Dharmesh Thakker 10 percent owner ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 1100, BOSTON MA 02210
Patrick W Grady director, 10 percent owner C/O OKTA, INC., 301 BRANNAN STREET 1ST FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Sc Us (ttgp), Ltd. 10 percent owner 2800 SAND HILL RD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Christopher Harms officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FORESCOUT TECHNOLOGIES INC, 190 WEST TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Thomas Neergaard Hansen officer: President C/O UIPATH, INC., 452 FIFTH AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Ninos Sarkis officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O AMPLITUDE, INC., 201 THIRD STREET, SUITE 200, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Mitchell Lasky 10 percent owner 2480 SAND HILL ROAD, STE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Sarah E Tavel 10 percent owner 2965 WOODSIDE ROAD, WOODSIDE CA 94062
Chetan Puttagunta 10 percent owner 2855 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
An-yen Hu 10 percent owner 2965 WOODSIDE ROAD, WOODSIDE CA 94062
J William Gurley 10 percent owner 2480 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Sequoia Capital U.s. Growth Fund Ix, L.p. 10 percent owner 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025