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Apartmentome REIT (Apartmentome REIT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Apartmentome REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Apartmentome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Apartmentome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Apartmentome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Apartmentome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Apartmentome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apartmentome REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Apartmentome REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.95

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Apartmentome REIT  (NYSE:AIRC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Apartmentome REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Apartmentome REIT (Apartmentome REIT) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4582 South Ulster Street, Suite 1700, Denver, CO, USA, 80237
Apartment Investment and Management Co. owns a portfolio of 73 apartment communities with over 25,000 units. The company focuses on owning large, high-quality properties in the urban and suburban submarkets of Boston, Denver, Los Angeles, Miami, Philadelphia, San Diego, San Francisco, and Washington, D.C.
Executives
Molly Syke officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 4582 S. ULSTER STREET, SUITE 1700, DENVER CO 80237
Devin Ignatius Murphy director 104 MAIN STREET, SOUTHPORT CT 06890
John D Rayis director 4582 S. ULSTER STREET, SUITE 1700, DENVER CO 80237
Keith M Kimmel officer: President, Property Operations 4582 S ULSTER STREET PARKWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80237
Joshua Minix officer: Executive Vice President 4582 S. ULSTER STREET, SUITE 1700, DENVER CO 80237
Matthew O'grady officer: SVP 4582 SOUTH ULSTER STREET, SUITE 1700, SUITE 1700, DENVER CO 80237
Paul Beldin officer: EVP & CFO 4582 S. ULSTER STREET PARKWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80237
Thomas N Bohjalian director C/O APARTMENT INCOME REIT CORP., 4582 S. ULSTER STREET, SUITE 1700, DENVER CO 80237
Ann Sperling director 4582 S. ULSTER STREET, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80237
Thomas L. Keltner director P.O. BOX 2030, SILVERTHORNE CO 80498
Nina A Tran director C/O AMB PROPERTY CORPORATION, PIER 1, BAY 1, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Lisa R Cohn officer: President & General Counsel 4582 S. ULSTER STREET PARKWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80237
Terry Considine director, officer: CEO 4582 SOUTH ULSTER STREET PARKWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80237
Hernandez Margarita Palau director 300 N. SAN RAFAEL AVE., PASADENA CA 91105
Kristin R. Finney-cooke director 4582 SOUTH ULSTER STREET, SUITE 1700, DENVER CO 80237